Higher healthcare use before paediatric multiple sclerosis onset: a nationwide cohort study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Evidence of increased healthcare use occurring before paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis presentation suggests a prodromal phase. However, little is known of its duration or features, and few studies have accessed a clinical cohort to examine the period before symptom onset. We compared annual rates of healthcare use before paediatric multiple sclerosis onset in clinical and administrative cohorts versus matched non-multiple sclerosis cohorts. We identified persons with paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis from the Swedish Multiple Sclerosis registry and population-based administrative data using a validated algorithm requiring ≥3 hospital or outpatient multiple sclerosis diagnostic codes recorded on separate dates. The index date was multiple sclerosis symptom onset, as recorded in the multiple sclerosis registry by a neurologist (clinical cohort) or the earliest demyelinating disease-related International Classification of Diseases code (administrative cohort). Individuals with age at index <18 years were matched with up to five individuals from the general population on sex, birth year, county of residence at the index date and residency time. Healthcare use was measured as hospital/outpatient diagnoses (International Classification of Diseases chapters) and prescription drug classes (Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical classification system, 2nd level). Yearly rates of hospital and outpatient visits (up to 17 years pre-index) and prescription fills (up to 14 years pre-index) were compared using Quasi-Poisson regression. The clinical/administrative cohorts included 233/206 paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis and 1151/1011 matched individuals, with a mean age at the index of 16 years (standard deviation: 2) in all four groups. In both cohorts, individuals with paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis exhibited elevated healthcare use predominantly 1-10 years pre-index, including, for example, higher prescriptions filled for corticosteroids for dermatological use (rate ratio range: 2.61-3.91) and outpatient visits for ill-defined signs/symptoms (rate ratio range: 2.17-8.64) and unassigned ICD codes (rate ratio range: 2.20-4.17). In the year pre-index, individuals with paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis in both cohorts exhibited higher rates of outpatient visits for neoplasms, nervous system disorders, sense organ conditions, ill-defined signs/symptoms and 'other health system contact' (rate ratio range: 2.05-18.00). In the same year, the clinical cohort also had higher rates of prescription fills for 'other gynecologicals' (4.08, 95% confidence interval: 1.04-16.09), and the administrative cohort had higher rates for prescriptions filled across eight drug classes (rate ratio range: 1.56-6.49). Healthcare use was higher primarily in the 1-10 years before paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis versus a matched cohort, suggestive of a prodromal phase. During this period, the paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis cohort was more often identified as having ill-defined signs/symptoms, neoplasms and skin-related issues.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".