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Impact of wastewater characteristics and weather events on the N2 and N1 gene target ratios during wastewater surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 at five treatment plants and an upper sewershed location

2025· article· en· W4410236275 on OpenAlexafffund
Lena Carolin Bitter, Richard Kibbee, Tim Garant, Banu Örmeci

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Science of The Total Environment · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicSARS-CoV-2 detection and testing
Canadian institutionsCarleton University
FundersMinistère de l’Environnement, de la Protection de la nature et des Parcs
KeywordsWastewaterSewage treatmentCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)Environmental science2019-20 coronavirus outbreakBiologyEnvironmental engineeringVirologyMedicineOutbreakInfectious disease (medical specialty)

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Recent fluctuations in the N2/N1 gene target ratios of SARS-CoV-2 were observed in wastewater, even when the dominant variant remained unchanged. This suggests that N2/N1 variations are influenced not only by viral mutations but also by external factors. While previous studies examined the effects of wastewater parameters on SARS-CoV-2 concentrations, there remains a knowledge gap regarding their specific impact on different gene targets. The main objective of this study was to identify external factors that contribute to the observed changes in the N2/N1 ratios in wastewater apart from reduced PCR sensitivity caused by mutations in the variants of concern. Examined factors included wastewater characteristics (pH, wastewater temperature, total and volatile solids, and turbidity) and weather events (precipitation, snow cover, and ambient temperature). Composite samples were collected over a 17-month period from five wastewater treatment plants and an upper sewershed location, spanning several seasons and weather events. SARS-CoV-2 RNA concentrations were measured using RT-qPCR using the N1 and N2 gene targets, and advanced statistical analyses were applied to assess trends and correlations. The results indicate that wastewater characteristics and weather events significantly impact the N2/N1 ratios, with additional effects from sewer size, type, and location. No single parameter consistently impacted the N2/N1 ratio across all sites, rather, impacts were site-specific. However, volatile solids and turbidity showed consistent correlations with N2/N1 ratios at all wastewater treatment plants. Understanding these external impacts is essential for accurately interpreting the changes in N2/N1 ratios and improving wastewater-based epidemiology efforts.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Bench or experimental · Consensus signal: Bench or experimental
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.314
Threshold uncertainty score0.216

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.018
GPT teacher head0.264
Teacher spread0.246 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designBench or experimental
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations6
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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