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Record W4410345056 · doi:10.1016/j.ccst.2025.100439

Systematic approach to the design, modeling, and techno-economic-environmental analysis of CO2 capture technologies as part of the National CCUS Assessment Framework (NCAF)

2025· article· en· W4410345056 on OpenAlexafffundabout
Robert T. Symonds, Marzieh Shokrollahi, Robin W. Hughes, Philippe Navarri, Rebecca Modler

Bibliographic record

VenueCarbon Capture Science & Technology · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicCarbon Dioxide Capture Technologies
Canadian institutionsNatural Resources Canada
FundersNatural Resources CanadaOffice of Energy Research and DevelopmentGovernment of Canada
KeywordsComputer scienceEnvironmental resource managementEnvironmental scienceSystems engineeringEnvironmental planningEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Given the commitment to reaching net-zero emissions by 2050, the deployment of carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) technologies will be instrumental in reaching gigatonne-scale CO 2 mitigation. High costs driven by economies of scale, CO 2 partial pressures, and large energy demands, along with need for substantial new CO 2 transportation and storage infrastructure, are key barriers to large-scale the deployment of CCUS. This paper introduces the overall National CCUS Assessment Framework (NCAF) platform and its key elements to provide context on how it can be utilized to facilitate strategic planning of CCUS infrastructure at the regional to national scale. The NCAF platform, comprised of 5 components, combines rigorous datasets, costing and life cycle assessment (LCA) methods, optimization models, and visualization methods across the whole CCUS value chain. This paper focuses on the CO 2 Capture Modeling and Costing/LCA Tool providing details on overall approach, development steps, and the application of the techno-economic-environmental machine learning (ML) models to industry archetypes. Preliminary sensitivity and industry analysis show the robustness of the ML models, providing quick and accurate costs and environment burdens. Key parameters including flue gas flow rate and composition, capture rate, and product CO 2 pressure are explored, highlighting the ideal operating conditions when considering solvent-based post-combustion CO 2 capture. An exploratory analysis of over 300 Canadian emitting facilities provides practical information about how costs and overall global warming potential (GWP) vary between industry type, facility location, and production scale. Subsequent studies will focus on large-scale case studies to simultaneously determine and minimize the total cost of the entire CCUS value chain – CO 2 capture, transport, and storage.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.016
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.014
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.016
Threshold uncertainty score0.083

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0160.014
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.002
Bibliometrics0.0030.003
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0050.004
Open science0.0030.003
Research integrity0.0020.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.009
GPT teacher head0.237
Teacher spread0.228 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2025
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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