The effect of air pollution exposure on menstrual cycle health using self-reported data from a mobile health app: a prospective, observational study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background Toxicological evidence suggests that ambient air pollution has endocrine-disrupting properties that can affect menstrual cycle functioning, which represents an important marker of women's reproductive health. We aimed to estimate the effect of short-term and long-term PM 2·5 exposure on menstrual cycle outcomes across the USA, Brazil, and Mexico using self-reported data from a mobile health app. Methods For this prospective observational study, we collected de-identified self-reported data from the Clue mobile health app, in which users self-tracked menstruation cycles. For the current study, eligible participants were aged 18–44 years, were not using hormonal birth control, and lived in one of 230 cities in the USA, Mexico, or Brazil. The primary outcome of interest at the city level was the proportion of menstrual cycles with abnormally short length (<24 days) and long length (>38 days) of all cycles recorded. The primary outcome at the cycle level was a binary indicator: abnormal cycle length (<24 days or >38 days) or not (normal cycle length). We used regression analyses to evaluate associations between long-term PM 2·5 concentrations (mean concentration between 2016 and 2020) and the city-level outcomes after controlling for potential confounders. Conditional logistic regression models were used to evaluate associations between cycle-specific PM 2·5 and if a cycle was of abnormal length within an individual in the dataset, after controlling for time-varying factors. Findings Between Jan 1, 2016 and Dec 31, 2020, 92 550 app users residing in 230 cities across the USA, Brazil, and Mexico provided data corresponding to 2 220 281 menstrual cycles, and were included in our main cohort. A significant association was observed between long-term PM 2·5 exposure and the proportion of menstrual cycles of abnormally long or short duration (odds ratio [OR] 1·023 [95% CI 1·013–1·033]) and the proportion of cycles that were specifically abnormally long (OR 1·036 [1·023–1·049]) for every 10 μg/m 3 increase in PM 2·5 . No associations were identified between short-term PM 2·5 concentrations and abnormal cycle length. Interpretation These findings suggest that PM 2·5 exposure affects menstrual cycle outcomes. More research is needed to better elucidate the biological mechanisms through which PM 2·5 affects the menstrual cycle. Funding None.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.007 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".