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Reconciling links between diversity and population stability across global plant communities

2025· preprint· en· W4410497030 on OpenAlexaff
Xiaobin Pan, Yann Hautier, Jan Lepš, Shaopeng Wang, Kathryn E. Barry, Manuele Bazzichetto, Stefano Chelli, Jiří Doležal, Nico Eisenhauer, Franz Essl, Felicia Fishcer, Óscar Godoy, Daniel Gómez, Carles Gràcia, Anaclara Guido, Lauren M. Hallett, Susan Harrison, Miao He, Andy Hector, Pubin Hong, Forest Isbell, George A. Kowalchuk, Victor Lecegui, Xiaofei Li, Maowei Liang, Frédérique Louault, Maria Májeková, R.H. Marrs, Neha Mohanbabu, Akira Mori, Robin J. Pakeman, Alain Paquette, Begoña Peco, Josep Peñuelas, Valério D. Pillar, Marta Rueda, Wolfgang Schmidt, Jules Segrestin, Marta Gaia Sperandii, Enrique Valencia, Vigdis Vandvik, Shengnan Wang, David Ward, Susan K. Wiser, Ben A. Woodcock, Chong Xu, Truman P. Young, Fei-Hai Yu, Liting Zheng, Zhiwei Zhong, Francesco de Bello

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicEcology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
Canadian institutionsUniversité du Québec à Montréal
Fundersnot available
KeywordsDiversity (politics)Stability (learning theory)GeographyPlant diversityPopulationEconomic geographyEcologyComputer scienceBiologyBiodiversitySociologyDemographyAnthropology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Maintaining ecological stability is essential for sustaining ecosystem functions and the benefits they provide to society. Ecological theory predicts that plant diversity either stabilizes or destabilizes local populations, while empirical studies report variable effects. We hypothesize that this discrepancy arises to a meaningful extent from differences in the ecological processes captured by various diversity and stability metrics. Analyzing over 8,000 permanent vegetation plots across biomes on five continents, we found a negative (i.e., destabilizing) diversity–stability relationship when using abundance-weighted rather than unweighted measures of population stability, which are more influenced by dominant species. Similarly, cumulative richness—capturing total species occurrence over time and long-term turnover—reveals a stronger destabilizing effect compared to average annual richness. Our findings reveal that, when specific metrics of diversity and stability are considered, increased interspecific coexistence tends to destabilize populations across natural ecosystems worldwide—particularly those of dominant species.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.008
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.002
Threshold uncertainty score0.007

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.008
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.002
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.055
GPT teacher head0.291
Teacher spread0.237 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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