MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort

DIFFERENT PHENOTYPES OF SEVERE FLARES IN PATIENTS WITH SYSTEMIC LUPUS ERYTHEMATOSUS (SLE): RESULTS OF A CLUSTERING ANALYSIS IN A MONOCENTRIC COHORT.

2025· article· en· W4410513223 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Elena Elefante, Davide Schiliró, Maria Antonietta Manca, Michele Maffi, Chiara Stagnaro, Dina Zucchi, Chiara Cardelli, Viola Signorini, Linda Carli, Francesco Ferro, Chiara Tani, Marta Mosca

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Journal of Rheumatology · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicMedical and Biological Ozone Research
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineCohortSystemic diseaseSystemic lupusSystemic lupus erythematosusPhenotypeCohort studyLupus erythematosusImmunologyInternal medicineImmunopathologyDiseaseAntibodyGenetics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

PV222 / #475 Poster Topic: AS23 - SLE-Diagnosis, Manifestations, & Outcomes Background/Purpose to identify and compare different phenotypes of severe flares in a monocentric cohort of SLE patients. Methods This is a retrospective study of prospectively collected data from a monocentric cohort of adult SLE patients (2019 EULAR-ACR classification criteria), hospitalized in the last 5 years, due to a severe flare (SELENA-SLEDAI flare index definition). Patients with concomitant infections, oncologic and onco-hematologic conditions were excluded. Hospitalization was defined as baseline (t0). At t0 demographics, clinical, laboratory and treatment data were collected. Disease activity was assessed with SLEDAI-2K and BILAG-2004. Disease outcomes (Lupus Low Disease Activity State (LLDAS) and DORIS remission) and treatment were evaluated at 3, 6, 12-months (t3, t6, t12) after the flare. Organ damage (SLICC Damage Index (SLICC-DI)) was assessed at baseline and t12. A clustering analysis was performed on SLE flares, with a hierarchical method. Post hoc elaborations (1-way analysis of variance with Bonferroni test for quantitative variables, and Chi-square test for qualitative variables) were performed to estimate any statistically significant differences between the clusters. Results 122 severe flares in 110 patients (female 83%, Caucasian 89%) were included. 3 clusters were identified, composed of 40, 34 and 48 flares respectively. Cluster 1 included flares that occurred in younger patients (mean age 38.2±12 vs 46.3±13.9 and 43.2±11.1 in clusters 2 and 3 respectively; p=0.007) with a shorter disease duration (9.1±6 years vs 17.5±11.5 and 15±8.7; p=0.0001), characterized by a higher frequency of BILAG A manifestations in the constitutional, cardiopulmonary and musculoskeletal domains (p= 0.0001). These flares presented hyperinflammatory stigmata (higher C-reactive protein, more severe lymphopenia, a tendency for higher ferritin values) and a richer autoantibody profile (anti-dsDNA, anti-Smith, anti-nucleosome, anti-hystone), compared to the other clusters. Cluster 2 included less severe flares with more BILAG B scores (59% vs 28% and 19%; p=0.0001) and mainly joint and skin manifestations. Cluster 3 was characterized by a clear predominance of renal flares (96%) (p=0.0001). 85% of flares in each cluster required adding/changing the immunsuppressant, mainly Mycophenolate in c lusters 1 and 3 (30% and 47% vs 9%; p=0.001). Glucocorticoid pulses were less frequently used in c luster 2 , accordingly to a milder flare phenotype (15% vs 50% and 83%; p= 0.0001). Belimumab was added in 25% and 30% of flares in cl uster 1 and 2 respectively, only in 8.5% in c luster 3 (p=0.02), as the majority of flares occurred before the approval of Belimumab for lupus nephritis. At t6 and t12, flares in clusters 1 and 3 presented a significantly higher cumulative glucocorticoid dose, compared to cluster 2 . At the different timepoints, c luster 1 and 3 presented a comparable and quite low percentage of patients that achieved LLDAS and remission (Table 1). No differences emerged among the clusters for SLICC-DI at t12. Table 1. *Cluster 2 vs 1 and 3 Conclusions different phenotypes of severe SLE flares exist. We identified a “hyperinflammatory” phenotype presenting with fever, arthritis and serositis, deserving similar aggressive therapeutic strategies as renal flares and burdened by a comparable proportion of unsatisfying response to treatment.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.003
Threshold uncertainty score0.189

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.010
GPT teacher head0.256
Teacher spread0.246 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueThe Journal of RheumatologySame topicMedical and Biological Ozone ResearchFrench-language works237,207