MétaCan
Menu
← Back to cohort

LONG-TERM INFECTION RISK IN MODERATE-SEVERE SYSTEMIC LUPUS ERYTHEMATOSUS FROM THE BRITISH ISLES LUPUS ASSESSMENT GROUP BIOLOGICS REGISTER (BILAG-BR): A PROSPECTIVE LONGITUDINAL STUDY

2025· article· en· W4410715592 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Sheilla Achieng, Sarah Dyball, Mia Rodziewicz, Emily Sutton, Ben Parker, Dan Wootton, Rebecca Lenihan, Lance Turtle, Ian N Bruce

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Journal of Rheumatology · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicSystemic Lupus Erythematosus Research
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineSystemic lupusProspective cohort studySystemic lupus erythematosusRisk assessmentLupus erythematosusSystemic diseaseInternal medicineDermatologySurgeryPediatricsPhysical therapyImmunologyImmunopathologyDisease

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

PT003 / #262 Topic: AS11 - Epidemiology and Public Health POSTER TOUR 01: CLINICAL OUTCOMES IN SLE 22-05-2025 10:00 AM - 10:40 AM Background/Purpose Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) are at increased risk of infection relative to the general population. A previous analysis from our cohort found a crude incidence rate of serious infections at 117.7 (95% CI 98.3–141.0) per 1000 person-years in the first 12 months from cohort entry. We aimed to establish the long-term risk of serious infections in patients with moderate-to-severe SLE in a large national observational cohort. Methods The British Isles Lupus Assessment Group Biologics Register (BILAG-BR) is a UK-based prospective register of patients with SLE. We included patients starting a new biological (rituximab or belimumab) within the previous 12 months or a new standard of care DMARD drug within the last month. Our primary outcome was the long-term incidence of infections, and infections of special interest including herpes zoster. Infections occurring within 28 days of the initial infection were classified as relapses, whereas after 28 days were considered reinfections. Infections involving distinct organ systems or resulting in systemic dissemination within 28 days were recorded separately, unless pathogen identification confirmed they were related to a single infection event. Serious infections were those requiring intravenous antimicrobial treatment, hospital admission, or resulting in morbidity or death. Infection and mortality data were collected from study centers and the UK Office for National Statistics. Results Between July 2010, and January 2023, 1342 individuals contributed 7073.4 person-years of follow-up. This included 929 (69.2%) participants on rituximab, 209(15.6%) on belimumab, and 204 (15.2%) receiving standard of care. The median age at cohort entry was 45 years (IQR 35–55),1206 (89.9%) were women, 670/1172 (57.2%) were White, 207 (17.7%) were South Asian, 202 (17.2%) were Black, and 93 (7.9%) were of East Asian, mixed or other ethnic backgrounds. In total, 1471 infections occurred in 545 (40.6%) individuals. Of these, 303 infections in 186 (13.9%) were classified as serious (Table 1). The crude incidence rate of all infections and serious infections were 208.0 (95% CI 197.3 -218.6) and 42.8 (95% CI 38.0– 47.7) per 1000 person-years, respectively. In the 186 individuals with serious infection, 126 (67.7%) experienced 1 serious infection,42 (22.6%) had 2, and 18 (9.7%) had 3 or more (max 11) serious infections. Herpes zoster occurred in 4.7% of the 1,342 participants at risk (incidence rate 8.9 cases per 1000 person-years, (95% CI 6.96 – 11.4)). Two cases of tuberculosis were reported, both required hospitalization; 1 was a TB recurrence 153 days after the second rituximab cycle (cumulative dose 3 grams), the other was diagnosed during pretreatment screening. Bacterial pathogens were identified by culture in 54 cases (Figure 1A). Figure 1B shows the distribution of other infectious agents in the cohort. There were 22 infection-related deaths at a median of 2783 days (IQR 1343 – 3709) following initiation of therapy. There were no safety signals indicating an increased risk of atypical or opportunistic infections, as these occurrences were rare. Table 1: Distribution of 303 serious infections which occurred in 186 individuals. Figure 1. Pie charts showing A Proportion of causative bacterial infectious agents, B other infectious agents Conclusions Our longer-term analysis shows a lower crude incidence rate of serious infections than in the first 12 months of follow-up suggesting potential adaptation or mitigation of risk over time. We also noted the occurrence of pathogens that are potentially vaccine-preventable and so further work is required to understand vaccine protocols as well as the quality and durability of vaccine responses in this high-risk cohort.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.073
Threshold uncertainty score0.146

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.004
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.026
GPT teacher head0.319
Teacher spread0.293 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueThe Journal of Rheumatology→Same topicSystemic Lupus Erythematosus Research→French-language works237,207→