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Record W4410740241 · doi:10.55763/ippr.2025.06.02.004

Trump’s Tariff War 2.0: Implications and Potential Opportunities

2025· article· en· W4410740241 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Manmohan Rahul

Bibliographic record

VenueIndian Public Policy Review · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicRussia and Soviet political economy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsTariffTrade warPolitical scienceInternational tradeEconomicsBusinessChinaLaw

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This article explores the ramifications and possible opportunities arising from the tariff war initiated by President Donald J. Trump during his second term in office. Trump’s aggressive trade restrictions target several of the United States' trading partners, including China, Mexico, and Canada, invoking legislative provisions such as the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977. The article provides an analysis of the historical context of US tariff policies, the timeline of recent tariff actions, and the rationale behind these measures, including national security and reducing trade deficits. The implications of these tariffs on global economic stability, investor confidence, and commodity prices are examined, along with strategic retaliation by affected countries. The paper also highlights India's position in this evolving trade landscape, identifying sectors with high potential to boost exports to the US market. This paper suggests that India could benefit from redirecting trade flows and enhancing its role in global value chains through appropriate policies.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.923
Threshold uncertainty score0.528

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.064
GPT teacher head0.361
Teacher spread0.297 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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