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Record W4410814830 · doi:10.1016/j.tncr.2025.200124

Towards better GVC participation in Africa: Does infrastructural development matter?

2025· article· en· W4410814830 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Joshua Adeyemi Afolabi, Olufemi Adebola Popoola

Bibliographic record

VenueTransnational Corporation Review · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicFiscal Policy and Economic Growth
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersGIGA German Institute of Global and Area StudiesInstitut für Weltwirtschaft
KeywordsPolitical scienceEconomic growthDevelopment economicsEconomic geographyRegional scienceGeographyEconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Global Value Chain (GVCs) offer vast opportunities for industrialization, economic diversification, and structural economic transformation. However, despite various efforts to become notable actors in the GVC, many African countries remain positioned at the lower end of the GVC spectrum. Hence, this paper investigates the potential of infrastructure to catalyse GVC participation and elevate African countries to a level comparable to developed nations. Relevant data from 38 African countries spanning 2005–2021 are analysed using the Pooled Ordinary Least Square (POLS), and the System Generalised Method of Moments (SGMM) methods. The results provide overwhelming evidence of infrastructural development's crucial role in improving forward and backward GVC participation in Africa. Specifically, information and communication technology (ICT), electricity, and water infrastructure significantly promote forward and backward GVC participation. The results are robust to alternative analytical methods. African governments, therefore, need to pursue pro-infrastructural development policies and increase infrastructural spending to improve GVC participation.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.621
Threshold uncertainty score0.925

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.044
GPT teacher head0.267
Teacher spread0.222 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations5
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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