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Record W4411015343 · doi:10.3386/w33818

The Effects of Political Advertising on Facebook and Instagram before the 2020 US Election

2025· report· en· W4411015343 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Hunt Allcott, Matthew Gentzkow, Roee Levy, Adriana Crespo-Tenorio, Natasha Dumas, Winter Mason, Devra Moehler, Pablo Barberá, Taylor Brown, Juan Carlos Cisneros, Drew Dimmery, Deen Freelon, Sandra González‐Bailón, Andrew M. Guess, Young Mie Kim, David Lazer, Neil Malhotra, Sameer Nair-Desai, Brendan Nyhan, Ana Carolina Paixao de Queiroz, Jennifer Pan, Jaime E. Settle, Emily Thorson, Rebekah Tromble, Carlos Velasco Rivera, Benjamin Wittenbrink, Magdalena Wojcieszak, Saam Zahedian, Annie Franco, Chad Kiewiet de Jonge, Natalie Jomini Stroud, Joshua A. Tucker

Bibliographic record

VenueNational Bureau of Economic Research · 2025
Typereport
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicSocial Media and Politics
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersStanford Institute for Economic Policy ResearchYork UniversityJohn Simon Guggenheim Memorial FoundationCharles Koch FoundationNutrition Obesity Research Center, University of North CarolinaUniversity of Wisconsin-MadisonJohn S. and James L. Knight FoundationAlfred P. Sloan Foundation
KeywordsAdvertisingPolitical advertisingPoliticsPolitical scienceBusinessLaw

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

analysis plan).Data collection was carried out by Meta and NORC.The pipeline code used to pre-process raw platform data was conducted by Meta and reviewed and approved by the external researchers; both the Meta team and external researchers analyzed the data.The paper was written by the external researchers with feedback from the Meta team, but the lead academic authors had final control rights over text and publication.More details on the collaboration appear in the Competing Interests Section and in Supplementary Note 9.The Facebook Open Research and Transparency (FORT) team provided substantial support in executing the overall project.We are grateful for support on various aspects of project management from C.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.008
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.131
Threshold uncertainty score0.261

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.008
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0020.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0130.003

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.128
GPT teacher head0.520
Teacher spread0.392 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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