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Record W4411231550 · doi:10.1101/2025.06.10.25329358

Early Genetic Evolution of Driver Mutations in Uveal Melanoma

2025· preprint· en· W4411231550 on OpenAlexaff
James J. Dollar, Christina L. Decatur, Ezekiel Weis, Amy C Schefler, Miguel A. Materin, Timothy Fuller, Alison H. Skalet, David A. Reichstein, Ivana K. Kim, Kisha Piggott, Hakan Demirci, Thomas Aaberg, Prithvi Mruthyunjaya, Basil K. Williams, Eugene Shildkrot, Scott C. N. Oliver, Devron H. Char, Antonio Capone, John O. Mason, Scott D. Walter, Michael M. Altaweel, Jill Fielding-Wells, Dan S. Gombos, Jay S. Duker, Peter Hovland, Tony Tsai, Cameron Javid, Michael Durante, Kyle R. Covington, Song Zhang, Zélia M. Corrêa, J. William Harbour

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicOcular Oncology and Treatments
Canadian institutionsUniversity of CalgaryUniversity of Alberta
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMelanomaMutationCancer researchMedicineGeneticsBiologyGene

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT Uveal melanoma (UM) is an aggressive cancer of the eye that frequently results in metastatic death. UMs are most likely to metastasize when they are small, at a time when they are difficult to distinguish from benign nevi and often observed without treatment. Unfortunately, little is known about the early genetic evolution of UM or potential biomarkers to indicate small tumors undergoing malignant transformation. Here, we performed targeted next generation sequencing for the 7 canonical UM driver mutations in 1140 primary UMs, including 131 small early-stage tumors. We found that the evolutionary burst of genetic aberrations that determines the archetypal UM subtypes and metastatic propensity has already occurred by the time most small tumors are biopsied, although a significantly larger proportion of small tumors are still evolving compared to larger tumors. We found that the 15-gene expression profile (15-GEP) support vector machine discriminant score was the best indicator of tumors in transition from low-risk Class 1 to high-risk Class 2 signature. While BAP1 , SF3B1 and EIF1AX mutations were associated with poor, intermediate and good prognosis, respectively, mutation analysis was inferior to the prospectively validated 15-GEP + PRAME expression classifier for predicting metastasis-free and overall survival. These results provide a more complete picture of genetic evolution in UM, and they move us closer to a molecular definition of malignant transformation in this cancer type.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.001
Threshold uncertainty score0.003

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.014
GPT teacher head0.289
Teacher spread0.275 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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