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Record W4411412192 · doi:10.1016/j.ard.2025.05.116

OP0094 Biological Sex-Related Differences in Radiographic Progression and Relationship with Early Clinical Response: Post Hoc Analysis of a Phase 3, Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Study in Biologic-Naive Participants with Active Psoriatic Arthritis Treated with Guselkumab

2025· article· en· W4411412192 on OpenAlexaff
Dafna Gladman, L. Eder, Carlo Selmi, P.J. Mease, A. Ogdie, Karissa Lozenski, M. Sharaf, E. Rampakakis, Laura Pina Vegas, Laura C. Coates

Bibliographic record

VenueAnnals of the Rheumatic Diseases · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicRheumatoid Arthritis Research and Therapies
Canadian institutionsToronto Western Hospital
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicinePost-hoc analysisPost hocPlaceboPhysical therapyInternal medicineRandomized controlled trialPathologyAlternative medicine

Abstract

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Background: Previous research has shown that women with psoriatic arthritis (PsA) often have lower rates of clinical response to medication but less severe radiographic joint damage [1,2]. Despite this, few randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in PsA report sex-disaggregated results. In a previous analysis of a large, pooled cohort of PsA participants (pts) from three Phase 3 RCTs of guselkumab (GUS), no differences in clinical efficacy across PsA domains were observed between sexes after adjusting for baseline demographics and clinical features [3]. Objectives: To assess sex-disaggregated radiographic progression in a Phase 3 study of biologic-naïve PsA pts treated with GUS, considering sex differences in structural damage and whether this is associated with early improvements in clinical assessments of joint disease activity. Methods: DISCOVER-2 (NCT03158285) included biologic-naïve pts with active PsA (≥5 swollen and ≥5 tender joint counts [SJC, TJC]; C-reactive protein [CRP] ≥0.6 mg/dL) randomized (1:1:1) to GUS 100 mg every 4 weeks (Q4W); GUS 100 mg at Week (W)0, W4, then Q8W; or placebo with crossover to GUS 100 mg Q4W at W24. Early (W8) response in joint disease activity, defined as achievement of low disease activity based on the clinical Disease Activity Index for PsA [cDAPSA LDA; ≤13], was descriptively assessed among pts with cDAPSA >13 at baseline, without adjustment for sex-specific differences at baseline. cDAPSA is calculated by summing TJC [0–68], SJC [0–66], patient global assessment of arthritis using a visual analog scale [VAS; 0–10 cm], and patient assessment of pain [VAS 0–10 cm]). In these post hoc analyses, multivariate repeated measures mixed models assessed associations between biological sex and changes in total PsAmodified van der Heijde-Sharp [vdH-S] score through W100 (Figure 1) and the association between early response in joint disease activity and radiographic progression when stratified by sex (Figure 2); time-averaged (i.e. parameter estimate for the effect of time variable) and visit-specific (at W52 and W100) least squares mean (LSM) changes were derived from these models. Results: Among 739 PsA pts enrolled in DISCOVER-2, 47.5% were female. At baseline, female vs male pts were more likely to be older (29.3% vs 21.9% ≥55 years of age; p=0.0204) and have dactylitis (60.6% vs 50.3%; p=0.0049), and on average had higher body mass index (BMI) (29.5 vs 28.4 kg/m 2 ; p=0.0144), lower CRP levels (1.6 vs 2.3; p<0.0001), less extensive/severe psoriasis (Psoriasis Area and Severity Index [PASI] score: 7.5 vs 12.1; p<0.0001), more functional disability (Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index [HAQ-DI] score: 1.4 vs 1.2; p<0.0001), and worse fatigue (Functional Assessment of Chronic Illness Therapy [FACIT]-Fatigue score: 28.5 vs 30.9; p=0.0007). Joint-specific variables at baseline such as the cDAPSA (46.1 vs 46.4) and PsA-modified vdH-S (26.2 vs 25.5) scores were similar (p>0.05) between sexes. In unadjusted analyses of GUS-treated pts, male sex was associated with greater progression of structural damage through W100 (ΔLSM=1.02; p=0.0260). After adjusting for known risk factors of radiographic progression (including baseline age, CRP levels, and PsA-modifed vdH-S score), baseline characteristics with sex-specific differences in the pooled cohort (including BMI and presence of dactylitis), and PsA disease duration and non-biologic DMARD use at baseline, the difference between sexes in radiographic progression decreased but remained statistically significant (ΔLSM=0.90; p=0.0406), with corresponding LSM changes from baseline in PsA-modified vdH-S scores in males vs females of 1.36 vs 0.69 (p=0.0502) at W52 and 2.22 vs 1.10 (p=0.0475) at W100 (Figure 1). Early (W8) cDAPSA LDA was achieved by 18.9% (51/270) of men and 15.3% (34/222) of women treated with GUS. In men, this was associated with significantly less radiographic progression through W100 (time-averaged change in PsA-modifed vdH-S scores from baseline through W100 in cDAPSA LDA responders vs nonresponders: 0.39 vs 2.24; p=0.0288), while in females only numerical differences were observed (-0.15 vs 0.91; p=0.1732) (Figure 2). Conclusion: Results reported here confirm the known independent association of male sex with more rapid radiographic progression. The previously reported relationship between early improvement in joint disease activity and diminished radiographic progression [4] was found to be stronger in males than females, which may be due to the lower rate of radiographic progression in female PsA pts. REFERENCES: [1] Eder L, et al. Ann Rheum Dis. 2013;72(4):578-82. [2] Eder L, et al. Lancet Rheumatol. 2023;5(12):e716-e727. [3] Eder L, et al. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2024;76(suppl 9). [4] Mease PJ, et al. Clin Rheumatol. 2024;43(1):241-249. Acknowledgements: NIL . Disclosure of Interests: Dafna D. Gladman: Consultant - AbbVie, Amgen, Bristol Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, Galapagos, Gilead, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, and UCB, Grants - AbbVie, Amgen, Bristol Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer and UCB, Lihi Eder: Consultant - AbbVie, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Bristol Myers Squibb, Moolake, Novartis, Pfizer, and UCB, Grants - AbbVie, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, Fresenius Kabi, and UCB, Carlo Selmi: Speaker - AbbVie, Alfa-Wassermann, Amgen, Biogen, Eli Lilly, EUSA, Galapagos, Janssen, Novartis, and SOBI, Consultant - AbbVie, Alfa-Wassermann, Amgen, Biogen, Eli Lilly, EUSA, Galapagos, Janssen, Novartis, and SOBI, Grants - AbbVie, Amgen, and Pfizer, Philip J. Mease: Speaker - AbbVie, Amgen, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, and UCB, Consultant - AbbVie, Acelyrin, Amgen, Bristol Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, Immagene, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, UCB, and Ventyx, Grants - AbbVie, Acelyrin, Amgen, Bristol Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Novartis, and UCB, Alexis Ogdie: Consultant - AbbVie, Amgen, Bristol Myers Squibb, Celgene, CorEvitas, Eli Lilly, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, and UCB, Grants - AbbVie to Penn, Amgen to Forward/NDB, Novartis to Penn, Pfizer to Penn, National Psoriasis Foundation, NIAMS, Rheumatology Research Foundation, and University of Pennsylvania, Karissa Lozenski: Shareholder - Johnson & Johnson and Bristol Myers Squibb, Employee - Immunology Global Medical Affairs, Janssen Pharmaceutical Companies of Johnson & Johnson, Mohamed Sharaf: Shareholder - Johnson & Johnson, Employee - EMEA Medical Affairs, Johnson & Johnson Middle East FZ LLC, Dubai United Arab Emirates, Emmanouil Rampakakis: Employee - JSS Medical Research, Consultant - Janssen Pharmaceuticals, LLC, a Johnson & Johnson Company, Laura Pina Vegas: Grants - Support for attending meeting: Novartis, Laura C. Coates: Speaker - AbbVie, Amgen, Biogen, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Galapagos, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Janssen, Medac, Novartis, Pfizer, and UCB, Grants - AbbVie, Amgen, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer and UCB; Consultant: AbbVie, Amgen, Bristol Myers Squibb, Celgene, Eli Lilly, Gilead, Galapagos, Janssen, Moonlake, Novartis, Pfizer, and UCB. © The Authors 2025. This abstract is an open access article published in Annals of Rheumatic Diseases under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). Neither EULAR nor the publisher make any representation as to the accuracy of the content. The authors are solely responsible for the content in their abstract including accuracy of the facts, statements, results, conclusion, citing resources etc.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.008
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.006
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.008
Threshold uncertainty score0.040

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0080.006
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0040.005
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0080.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.081
GPT teacher head0.402
Teacher spread0.320 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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