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Record W4411418821 · doi:10.1016/j.ard.2025.06.1778

ABS0977 PERFORMANCE OF THE ASAS PRELIMINARY DATA-DRIVEN MRI LESION CUT-OFFS FOR A POSITIVE MRI OF THE SACROILIAC JOINTS IN PATIENTS WITH AXIAL SPONDYLOARTHRITIS WITH AND WITHOUT PSORIASIS, IRITIS, AND COLITIS

2025· article· en· W4411418821 on OpenAlexaff
Susanne Juhl Pedersen, Ulrich Weber, Ö. Bayındır, R. Lambert, Joel Paschke, Stephanie Wichuk, Walter P. Maksymowych

Bibliographic record

VenueAnnals of the Rheumatic Diseases · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicSpine and Intervertebral Disc Pathology
Canadian institutionsUniversity of AlbertaArthritis Research Centre of CanadaResearch CanadaUniversity of Ottawa
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicinePsoriasisLesionAxial spondyloarthritisRadiologySacroiliac jointColitisSacroiliitisMagnetic resonance imagingDermatologySurgeryInternal medicine

Abstract

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Background: ASAS has proposed preliminary cut-offs for a positive MRI of the sacroiliac joints (SIJ) inflammatory and structural lesion in patients with axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA), which should be more stringent and aimed for higher specificity. The ASAS derived cut-offs are based on numbers of SIJ with the affected lesion, being ≥3 for erosion (ER), ≥4 for bone marrow edema (BME), ≥5 for fat lesion (FAT), and ≥2 for deep fat lesion extending ≥1cm from subchondral bone. Objectives: The aim was to validate these cut-offs in axSpA patients with different clinical phenotypes i.e., patients with or without concomitant psoriasis (PsO), acute anterior uveitis (AAU), and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), and age- and gender-matched patients with non-specific back pain (NSBP). Methods: AxSpA patients fulfilling the modified New York criteria (mNY) were included from a prospective, observational cohort. All axSpA cases with AAU(n=45) PsO(n=44), or IBD(n=27), diagnosed by an ophthalmologist, dermatologist, or gastroenterologist, or axSpA without extra-articular features(n=45), and with available MRI SIJ scans were matched for age and gender with scans from NSBP controls(n=78). Three readers blinded to clinical information evaluated the MRI scans according to the ASAS MRImagine-consensus. This included global assessment and detailed scoring of lesions per SIJ quadrant or halves according to the SPARCC method. Cut-offs for backfill (BF), and ankylosis (ANK) were assessed according to number of SIJ halves. Sensitivity and specificity of MRI cut-offs from≥2 to≥5 SIJ quadrants (for BME, ER, FAT, SCL) or halves (BF, ANK) with diagnosis of axSpA as gold standard, were analyzed. Results: For BME, a substantial increase in specificity was evident with a cut-off≥4 at 92.3% with limited impact on sensitivity for diagnosis of axSpA among all subgroups when compared to a cut-off≥3 (Table 1). For ER, specificity was 96.2% at a cut-off≥3 with limited impact on sensitivity when compared to a cut-off 2. For FAT, specificity was 94.9% at a cut-off≥5 with limited impact on sensitivity when compared to a cut-off≥4, while a deep fat lesion already had high specificity of 96.2% even at a cut-off≥2. BF and ANK had 100% specificity at cut-offs of≥2 while SCL had high specificity, but sensitivity was low even at the cut-off≥2. Conclusion: The data-driven MRI lesion cut-offs demonstrated high performance characteristics, supporting the validity of the preliminary ASAS Data-Driven MRI lesion cut-offs. REFERENCES: NIL . Table 1Sensitivity and Specificity of MRI cut-offs for SIJ lesions for axSpA subgroups.MRI cut-offNSBP(n=78)AS/PsO(n=44)AS/AAU(n=45)AS/IBD(n=27)AS alone(n=45)Sensitivity for axSpASpecificity for axSpAN (%)N (%)p-value (vs NSBP)AS/AAU(n=45)p-value (vs NSBP)N (%)p-value (vs NSBP)N (%)p-value (vs NSBP)BME≥214 (17.9%)20 (45.5%)0.00127 (60%)<0.00112 (44.4%)0.00626 (57.8%)<0.00152.882.1BME≥313 (16.7%)20 (45.5%)0.00124 (53.3%)<0.00111 (40.7%)0.01125 (55.6%)<0.00149.783.3BME≥46(7.7%)19 (43.2%)<0.00123 (51.1%)<0.00111 (40.7%)0.00122 (48.9%)<0.00146.692.3BME≥55 (6.4%)19 (43.2%)<0.00123 (51.1%)<0.00110 (37%)0.00118 (40%)<0.00143.593.6ER≥25 (6.4%)23 (52.3%)<0.00126 (57.8%)<0.00110 (37%)0.00124 (53.3%)<0.00151.693.6ER≥33 (3.8%)19 (43.2%)<0.00125 (55.6%)<0.0019 (33.3%)<0.00122 (48.9%)<0.00146.696.2ER≥41 (1.3%)17 (38.6%)<0.00122 (48.9%)<0.0017 (25.9%)<0.00119 (42.2%)<0.00140.498.7ER≥51 (1.3%)14 (31.8%)<0.00119 (42.2%)<0.0016 (22.2%)0.00218 (40%)<0.00135.498.7FAT≥27 (9%)31 (70.5%)<0.00131 (68.9%)<0.00118 (66.7%)<0.00131 (68.9%)<0.00166.591.0FAT≥35 (6.4%)30 (68.2%)<0.00126 (57.8%)<0.00117 (63%)<0.00129 (64.4%)<0.00163.493.6FAT≥44 (5.1%)26 (59.1%)<0.00125 (55.6%)<0.00117 (63%)<0.00128 (62.2%)<0.00159.694.9FAT≥54 (5.1%)23 (52.3%)<0.00125 (55.6%)<0.00117 (63%)<0.00126 (57.8%)<0.00156.594.9Deep FAT≥23 (3.8%)19 (43.2%)<0.00122 (48.9%)<0.00111 (40.7%)<0.00123 (51.1%)<0.00146.696.2Deep FAT≥33 (3.8%)17 (38.6%)<0.00120 (44.4%)<0.00111 (40.7%)<0.00121 (46.7%)<0.00142.996.2Deep FAT≥43 (3.8%)16 (36.4%)<0.00119 (42.2%)<0.00110 (37%)<0.00116 (35.6%)<0.00137.996.2Deep FAT≥51 (1.3%)15 (34.1%)<0.00115 (33.3%)<0.0019 (33.3%)<0.00116 (35.6%)<0.00134.298.7SCL≥25 (6.4%)9 (20.5%)0.02013 (28.9%)0.0076 (22.2%)0.0218 (17.8%)0.04922.493.6SCL≥34 (5.1%)7 (15.9%)0.0479 (20%)0.0105 (18.5%)0.0336 (13.3%)0.1116.894.9SCL≥44 (5.1%)5 (11.4%)0.218 (17.8%)0.0234 (14.8%)0.105 (11.1%)0.2213.794.9SCL≥52 (2.6%)4(9.1%)0.116 (13.3%)0.023 (11.1%)0.0745 (11.1%)0.0511.297.4BF≥20 (0%)19 (43.2%)<0.00115 (33.3%)<0.0017 (25.9%)<0.00114 (31.1%)<0.00134.2100.0BF≥30 (0%)16 (36.4%)<0.00115 (33.3%)<0.0016 (22.2%)<0.00112 (26.7%)<0.00130.4100.0BF≥40 (0%)14 (31.8%)<0.00114 (31.1%)<0.0015 (18.5%)0.00110 (22.2%)<0.00126.7100.0BF≥50 (0%)14 (31.8%)<0.00112 (26.7%)<0.0013 (11.1%)0.0037 (15.6%)0.00422.4100.0ANK≥20 (0%)15 (34.1%)<0.00117 (37.8%)<0.00111 (40.7%)<0.00116 (35.6%)<0.00136.7100.0ANK≥30 (0%)15 (34.1%)<0.00117 (37.8%)<0.00110 (37%)<0.00116 (35.6%)<0.00136.0100.0ANK≥40 (0%)15 (34.1%)<0.00117 (37.8%)<0.00110 (37%)<0.00115 (33.3%)<0.00135.4100.0ANK≥50 (0%)15 (34.1%)<0.00116 (35.6%)<0.00110 (37%)<0.00115 (33.3%)<0.00134.8100.0 Acknowledgements: NIL . Disclosure of Interests: Susanne Juhl Pedersen MSD, Pfizer, AbbVie, UCB, Novartis, Have you worked as a paid consultant for pharmaceutical companies? AbbVie, UCB, Novar-tis, Grant/research support: Have you received financial grants from pharmaceutical companies? AbbVie, MSD, Novartis, and the Danish Research Foundation, Ulrich Weber AbbVie, Eli-Lilly, Novartis, Ozun Bayindir Janssen, Robert G Lambert AbbVie, Joel Paschke Employee of CARE Arthritis, Stephanie Wichuk Employee of CARE Arthritis, Walter P Maksymowych WM i s the chief Medical Officer of CARE. © The Authors 2025. This abstract is an open access article published in Annals of Rheumatic Diseases under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). Neither EULAR nor the publisher make any representation as to the accuracy of the content. The authors are solely responsible for the content in their abstract including accuracy of the facts, statements, results, conclusion, citing resources etc.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.007
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.004
Threshold uncertainty score0.015

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.007
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.022
GPT teacher head0.294
Teacher spread0.271 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
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