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Record W4411419447 · doi:10.1016/j.ard.2025.06.1588

ABS0730 TREATMENT SEQUENCING AND LINE OF THERAPY FOR BIOLOGICS AND JAK INHIBITORS IN RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS PATIENTS: IMPLICATIONS FOR DESIGN AND UPTAKE OF NEW DRUGS AND DIAGNOSTICS

2025· article· en· W4411419447 on OpenAlexaff
Jeffrey R. Curtis, Scott R. Daigle, Emily E. Holladay, Yu-Ting Su, Fang Xie, Signe Fransen, Grace Y. Lam, Robert W. Levin, Suresh Reddy, James D. Carlson, Amy S. Mudano

Bibliographic record

VenueAnnals of the Rheumatic Diseases · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicMonoclonal and Polyclonal Antibodies Research
Canadian institutionsRiverview Hospital
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineRheumatoid arthritisAntirheumatic AgentsInternal medicineSecond lineOncologyPharmacologyFirst line

Abstract

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Background: Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have numerous treatment choices, and new diagnostic tests to predict treatment response are being developed. However, some RA therapies and predictive biomarker tests may be restricted by health plans or payers for use in RA patients with specific treatment histories (e.g., biologic-naïve or minimally biologic-experienced). Objectives: Using a population-based RA inception cohort, we examined RA treatment sequences by line of therapy (LoT) and medication switching rates to estimate the size of eligible populations for novel RA therapies or predictive treatment response tests. Methods: We utilized an augmented health plan claims database linked to electronic health record (EHR) data from the Excellence Network in Rheumatology to Innovate Care and High-impact research (ENRICH), a national practice-based rheumatology network. Study inclusion criteria included ≥2 outpatient encounters with a diagnosis of RA from rheumatology providers occurring ≥30 days apart and within 365 days in patients age ≥18 years, ≥12 months of continuous coverage preceding the first RA diagnosis through the second RA diagnosis, and ≥1 conventional, biologic or targeted synthetic DMARD (b/tsDMARD) between the first RA diagnosis date and the end of the study. Patients with other inflammatory rheumatic diseases or use of b/tsDMARDs prior to the first RA diagnosis were excluded. Biologic and JAKi were identified using various coding systems including the Healthcare Common Procedure Coding System (HCPCS), National Drug Codes (NDC), prescription concept unique identifier (RXCUI) from the National Library of Medicine (NLM), and generic/brand name. We assessed the characteristics of the cohort by line of therapy, the rate of RA treatment switching overall and by rheumatology provider, time to switch, and the sequence of RA treatments used, stratified by line of therapy and shown as a Sankey plot. We also examined agreement between LoT as characterized in claims and EHR data compared to the gold standard of patient self-reported lifetime RA treatment history. Agreement was reported using weighted Cohen's Kappa(κ). Results: Among 37,656 newly-diagnosed RA patients, 59,557 new RA treatment initiations were identified (Table 1). The median [IQR] age of newly-diagnosed RA patients was 54.3 years [45.1, 61.4] at first b/tsDMARD initiation. Patients were mostly commercially insured (78.5%), White (68.5%, among those with available race), and had a high proportion of oral glucocorticoids utilization (68.1%) within 6 months of treatment initiation. Among b/tsDMARDs naïve patients, 36.5% of newly-diagnosed patients used their first LoT as monotherapy, and the prevalence of monotherapy use (e.g. no concomitant MTX) increased to almost 50% as patients received additional b/tsDMARDs. Most patients (85.2%) initiated biologics (predominantly TNFi); the remainder initiated JAKi (Figure 1). Of these, 40.2% overall used biologics/JAKi as monotherapy. The frequency of JAKi initiation peaked in 2019-2020 (18.3%) and declined to 13.7% in 2023-2024. The overall medication switching rate was 25.7 per 100 patient-years (22.7/100py in biologic-naïve patients, >30/100py in treatment-experienced patients), with substantial variability between prescribers (Figure 2). The time to switch was appreciably longer (p < 0.001) among b/tsDMARDs naïve patients compared to treatment-experienced patients but differed minimally with increasing failure of RA treatments. In both claims and EHR data, use of a 1-year minimum baseline that used all available prior data had much better agreement (claims: κ=0.68; EHR: κ=0.59) with patients' self-reported lifetime treatment history than a fixed 1-year baseline (claims: κ=0.32; EHR: κ=0.30). Conclusion: These findings provide valuable insights for stakeholders developing or marketing RA therapies or diagnostic tests, highlighting the size and characteristics of the eligible RA population in the U.S. and their treatment patterns by line of therapy. REFERENCES: NIL . Figure 1Treatment Switching by Line of Therapy (n=37,656 unique RA patients) Figure 2Variability in the Rate of RA Treatment Switches, by Prescriber (n=1,726 prescribers with at least 10 RA patients represented in the analysis*; n=36,406 initiations)*removing 8 prescribers who were outliers with switch rates >100 per 100 patient-years Acknowledgements: NIL . Disclosure of Interests: Jeffrey R Curtis AbbVie, Amgen, Aqtual, BMS, GSK, Janssen, Lilly, Moderna, Novartis, Pfizer, Sanofi, Scipher, Setpoint, TNacity Blue Ocean, UCB, AbbVie, Amgen, Aqtual, BMS, CorEvitas, GSK, Janssen, Lilly, Moderna, Novartis, Pfizer, Sanofi, Scipher, Setpoint, UCB, Shanette Daigle: None declared , Emily E Holladay: None declared , Yujie Su: None declared , Fenglong Xie: None declared , Signe Fransen Aqtual Inc., Gordon Lam Aqtual Inc., Robert Levin AbbVie, BMS, Sanofi, AbbVie, Amgen, Lilly, Pfizer, Sanofi, UCB, Gilead, Myriad Genetics, Shanmugapriya Reddy ABBVIE, Amgen, Pfizer, UCB, Sanofi, Novartis, BMS, Lilly, ABBVIE, Amgen, Pfizer, UCB, Sanofi, Novartis, BMS, Lilly, Jason Carlson Aqtual Inc., Amy Mudano: None declared . © The Authors 2025. This abstract is an open access article published in Annals of Rheumatic Diseases under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). Neither EULAR nor the publisher make any representation as to the accuracy of the content. The authors are solely responsible for the content in their abstract including accuracy of the facts, statements, results, conclusion, citing resources etc.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.018
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.053
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.018
Threshold uncertainty score0.097

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0180.053
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.084
GPT teacher head0.364
Teacher spread0.280 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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