A Hybrid Spatial–Temporal Deep Learning Method for Metro Tunnel Displacement Prediction Under “Dual Carbon” Background
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The burgeoning urbanization and construction activities pose significant challenges to the structural integrity and safety of the existing metro tunnels. This study introduces a hybrid spatial–temporal deep learning model, integrating graph convolutional network (GCN) and long short‐term memory (LSTM) networks, to predict metro tunnel displacements under the imperatives of “dual carbon” goals. The model leverages the strengths of GCNs in capturing spatial correlations and LSTM networks in processing temporal dynamics, offering a robust framework for accurate displacement prediction. The methodology encompasses data preprocessing, including outlier removal and missing value imputation, followed by feature extraction and normalization. The proposed GCN‐LSTM model is trained on historical displacement data, employing a robotic total station (RTS) for high‐precision monitoring. The model’s performance is evaluated using metrics such as root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and weighted mean absolute percentage error (WMAPE) and is compared against other models including LSTM, recurrent neural network (RNN), gated recurrent unit (GRU), residual LSTM (ResLSTM), and a variant of GCN‐LSTM. The results indicate that the GCN‐LSTM model outperforms comparative models across various sliding window sizes, demonstrating lower error metrics and higher stability. The model’s efficacy is further corroborated through a case study on the Jinan Metro Line 2, where it provides reliable predictions crucial for proactive maintenance and sustainable urban development. The study contributes to the field of metro tunnel displacement prediction and supports the advancement of intelligent monitoring systems for urban infrastructure.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".