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Record W4411483391 · doi:10.1101/2025.06.18.25329071

An evaluation of the association between changes to job protection during illness leave and illness absence behaviour

2025· preprint· en· W4411483391 on OpenAlexaffabout
Michael Lebenbaum, Ioana Nicolau, Stuart Peacock, Jennifer Gillis, Samuel Asare

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldHealth Professions
TopicWorkplace Health and Well-being
Canadian institutionsSimon Fraser UniversityUniversity of CalgaryCanadian Cancer Society
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSick leaveDemographyJob lossMedicinePhysical therapyEconomicsUnemploymentSociology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Background Despite a growing body of research on sick leave policies, there remains a significant gap in research concerning job protections during illness leaves, which is critical in Canada since several provinces are considering or passing job-protected leave expansions. We examined three major job-protected leave expansions, Quebec (2003), Manitoba (2016), and Alberta (2018). Methods We used the Canadian Labour Force Survey data spanning from 1998 to 2022. Using a difference-in-difference approach, we examined 5-year changes in leave behaviour before and after expansions in job-protected leave in the three provinces compared to changes in provinces with less than 2 weeks of job-protected leave. We analyzed the prevalence, duration, and distribution of illness/disability absences using ordinary least squares and linear probability models. Results We found that expanding job-protected leave in Quebec was associated with decreases in the overall length of leave by 2.2 (95% CI: -3.2 to -1.5; P<0.001) weeks or 14.0% relative reduction. Similarly, expansions in Alberta and Manitoba were associated with decreases in the overall length of leave by 1.2 (95% CI: -2.1 to -0.3; P=0.016) weeks or 7.4% relative reduction. Results for absence prevalence were mixed (small increase (Quebec) (p<0.05), no significant change (Alberta-Manitoba) (p>0.05). Both expansions were associated with significant increases in absence duration consistent with the policy (i.e., 3-17-week leaves) (p<0.05). Conclusions Our results suggest that job-protected leave expansion may influence leave behaviour even in the presence of protections provided by human rights laws and without imposing large additional costs for employers or governments.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.010
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.888
Threshold uncertainty score0.226

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.010
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.059
GPT teacher head0.400
Teacher spread0.341 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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