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Record W4411508147 · doi:10.1007/s00267-025-02202-5

GIS, Remote Sensing and Machine Learning: Data Integration to Support the Management of Coastal Island Ecosystems

2025· article· en· W4411508147 on OpenAlexafffundabout
David J. Lieske, Stephanie Avery‐Gomm, Patrick Champagne, Leah Fulton

Bibliographic record

VenueEnvironmental Management · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicTropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Canadian institutionsUniversity of VictoriaEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaMount Allison University
FundersEnvironment and Climate Change CanadaMount Allison University
KeywordsStorm surgeWetlandEcosystemPhysical geographyGeographyClimate changeMarine ecosystemVegetation (pathology)Environmental scienceOceanographyEcologyStormGeology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Islands are important components of many coastal areas around the world; however, by virtue of their geographical isolation, the state of these ecosystems is often poorly known. To address the knowledge gap for the province of Nova Scotia, Canada, geographic information systems (GIS), remote sensing (RS), and machine learning (ML) were used to examine the status of nearly 4000 islands. We classified islands topographically and determined, based on 1 m resolution LiDAR, that approximately 70% are <2 m average elevation and highly vulnerable to partial or complete flooding under near-term regimes of sea level rise and storm surge potential. Vegetation cover was strongly related to topographic class, with higher, more steeply-sided islands having more tree cover and less sand, rock, and wetland. Climatic changes were most pronounced in the form of sea surface temperature (SST) warming, with August changes (+0.063 °C yr −1 ) being 6.3× higher than the global mean background rate, particularly affecting the Gulf of St. Lawrence subregion. Human activity, in the form of marine traffic, is a pervasive stress. To integrate all these factors, a random forest ML model was trained using tree mortality from forest inventory records as the environmental response, and the predictions were used to define a region-wide Ecosystem Stress Index (ESI). These findings demonstrate the kinds of insights geospatial data and ML can provide, and offer tools for improving our understanding of coastal island vulnerability.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Other design · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.928
Threshold uncertainty score0.494

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.020
GPT teacher head0.234
Teacher spread0.215 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designOther design
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2025
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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