Armed Gang Violence in Haiti and the Medication Shortage: Acting Quickly to Save Lives
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Haiti is in a state of collapse. Since 2018, a surge in armed gang violence has caused tens of thousands of direct and indirect deaths, fueling an increasingly alarming health crisis. In 2024 alone, armed gangs killed more than 5,600 people (about 1,000 more than in 2023), with over 1,500 reported kidnappings and thousands of gunshot injuries (United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights 2025). Today, more than 85% of the metropolitan area of Portau-Prince is under gang control, completely isolating the capital and plunging the population into a humanitarian and health catastrophe (Lennon 2025). Nearly half of the country-5.4 million Haitians-suffer from acute food insecurity, including 1.64 million in critical conditions. Rising prices and widespread shortages are exacerbated by gangs blocking roads and imposing illegal tolls, leaving 65% of households in Port-au-Prince without enough food (Da Silva 2024). Over a million people, half of them children, have been displaced, left without shelter or access to basic services. Violence, famine, and mass displacement have turned the country into a survival zone.Since November 2024, international commercial flights to Port-au-Prince have been suspended, further deepening the crisis by causing severe shortages, including a critical lack of medication (as 70% of medication used in Haiti are imported). In March 2024, the Association of Pharmacists of Haiti (APH) issued a warning that the country's escalating medication shortage posed a critical threat, with the potential to result in thousands of preventable deaths (Lebègue 2024). Indeed, Haiti's healthcare system has already collapsed, with fewer than 10% of hospitals operating at full capacity (PanAmerican Health Organization 2025). The January 12, 2010, earthquake had already reduced the capacity of hospitals and the healthcare system to provide necessary care to patients (Campbell et al. 2016;Cénat and Derivois 2023). Most of the country's major medical centers are now inaccessible, looted, or burned down by armed gangs. Across the country, persistent gang violence has led to a severe shortage of essential medications, worsening an already fragile healthcare system. This medication shortage endangers emergency care, the treatment of chronic illnesses (e.g., hypertension, diabetes, kidney diseases, cardiovascular diseases, cancer), and the management of infectious diseases (e.g., malaria, pneumonia, tuberculosis, cholera). Hospitals are also suffering from a lack of surgical supplies, antibiotics, and vital treatments for maternal and neonatal care. The crisis has caused a dramatic decline in vaccination rates, increasing the risk of outbreaks of polio, rabies, pneumococcus, and rotavirus.With cholera still circulating, the lack of epidemiological surveillance heightens the threat of an imminent health disaster. Additionally, no psychiatric hospitals are currently operational in the country, leaving individuals with mental illnesses without care, amid a growing shortage of psychotropic medications. The full extent of deaths and complications due to the shortage of medications and medical supplies remains to be assessed. A similar shortage of medication also caused many collateral deaths during the recent civil war in Syria (Taleb et al. 2014). Indeed, as demonstrated during the conflict in Syria, prolonged conflicts weaken healthcare systems and exacerbate medication shortages, leading to preventable deaths.In February 2025, the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) delivered 7.7 tons of medications to Haiti to support some hospitals, provide limited vaccines, and offer temporary relief from the shortage (PanAmerican Health Organization 2025). However, without a rapid and large-scale response to the medication crisis, the country risks falling into an even more dire health situation, with more deaths, more unvaccinated children, and more irreversible health conditions.To mitigate the medication shortage, reduce related deaths, and alleviate the suffering of local populations, an urgent multisectoral public health approach is necessary. The Ministry of Public Health and Population (MSPP), in collaboration with regional health directorates, must urgently develop a comprehensive mapping of medication needs, considering various disease groups, emergency medical interventions, preventive measures, and regional disparities. The World Health Organization (WHO) and the PAHO should provide technical support to accelerate the development and dissemination of this plan. Additionally, Haitian researchers and healthcare professionals from the diaspora could contribute their expertise to create a needs assessment map within ten days through an efficient task force.Simultaneously, WHO, PAHO, and the United Nations Secretariat should launch a global appeal for an emergency six-month supply of essential medications. Strict guidelines must be enforced to reject nearly expired medications and experimental treatments, while all ongoing clinical trials should be suspended to ensure patient safety. Eliminating customs formalities for receiving medical supplies is crucial for a period of six months to a year, with deliveries received directly by the MSPP under the supervision of WHO and PAHO.A secured airbridge, supported by law enforcement and commercial transport companies, should facilitate the rapid and safe delivery of supplies, ensuring the cold chain is maintained and that medical care continues in different regions according to their specific needs. Given the widespread impoverishment of the Haitian population, medications and vaccines, particularly for children aged 0 to 5, must be provided free of charge, alongside measures to involve pharmacies in distribution and ensure they receive financial compensation.Beyond emergency measures, sustainable actions must be implemented to strengthen the resilience of Haiti's public health care system. The public health response should also include the launch of a national vaccination campaign to prevent outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases, prioritizing children aged 0 to 5. In the medium term, to ensure access to healthcare-including in rural areas-the deployment of temporary clinics and mobile medical teams is essential for treating chronic illnesses and non-hospital emergency cases. Integrating drone technology for medication distribution in remote areas could also improve logistical efficiency.In the long term, Haiti must prioritize local pharmaceutical production and significantly increase the healthcare sector's budget, which currently represents less than 2% of the national budget (with a total budget of under two billion USD for a population of over 12 million), prioritizing public health policies. These measures should help reduce dependence on foreign aid and build a resilient public healthcare system. Investments must also be made in decentralized storage infrastructure that meets international standards for proper medication conservation, while ensuring the implementation of a computerized tracking and management system to prevent shortages and waste.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.005 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.008 |
| Research integrity | 0.004 | 0.007 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.012 | 0.003 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".