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Record W4411629411 · doi:10.21544/2359-3075.30310

O Brasil e a proliferação de submarinos de propulsão nuclear

2024· article· en· W4411629411 on OpenAlex
José Augusto Abreu de Moura

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueRevista da Escola de Guerra Naval · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicBrazilian History and Foreign Policy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPhilosophy

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Brazil’s negotiations with the International Atomic Energy Agency to draw up safeguards for the development of a conventionally armed nuclear-powered submarine will, according to several analysts, set a precedent that will lead to a proliferation of non-nuclear-weapon states conducting such programmes, initiatives that the nuclear-weapon states have opposed on the grounds of the risk of surreptitious manufacture of nuclear weapons. Therefore, this possible proliferation motivated this research, the aim of which was to analyse the states seeking these naval means, focusing on their strategic motivation, their political context, their possible compatibility with the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime and the presumed possibilities for the use of Brazilian practice that will result from the ongoing negotiations. The analysis found that the obstacles arising from the high cost, technical complexity, lack of will or internal political definition (Japan, Argentina and Canada) and international pressures due to commitments made (South Korea and Iran) lead to the conclusion that the number of suitors may increase, but not characterising proliferation, and only Brazil and Australia can conduct such programmes in the medium term, with Brazil not being hampered by commitments made, because it has legitimised its programme in all those it has signed, from the outset.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.917
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.029
GPT teacher head0.245
Teacher spread0.216 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it