Cold tolerance strategy and lower temperature thresholds of <i>Lycorma delicatula</i> (Hemiptera: Fulgoridae) egg masses
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The spotted lanternfly (Lycorma delicatula, Hemiptera: Fulgoridae) is a planthopper native to China and southeastern Asia invasive in North America. To inform the risk assessment of northward spread, we determined the cold tolerance strategy and lower lethal limits of overwintering eggs. We used field-collected egg masses from Pennsylvania, USA, and treated them with short (1 or 12 h) and long (10 or 15 d) low temperature exposures (0 °C to -25 °C). We determined that eggs were chill susceptible, and their supercooling points ranged from -17.4 °C to -27.7°C. We observed successful hatch after short- and long-term exposure to temperatures below -20 °C. Hatch rates were lower at or below -20 °C in the short exposures, or -15 °C in our long exposures experiments than hatch rate in egg masses not exposed to any treatment. Because L. delicatula eggs survived temperatures near their supercooling points, -27.7 °C could be used as an estimate of the lower lethal temperature. Our findings suggest that L. delicatula may be able to survive in colder climates than initially thought. Of the locations where L. delicatula has been intercepted in Canada-central and eastern provinces-Winnipeg is the only location where frequent or intense cold spells are likely to prevent hatch. Thus, low winter temperatures may not limit L. delicatula overwinter survival in many regions of Canada or other parts of the world that experience similar winter conditions.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it