MétaCan
Menu
← Back to cohort

Coupled Mineral-Mechanical Changes During Plate Interface Cooling May Explain Catastrophic Subduction Initiation

2025· preprint· en· W4411952659 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Alissa Kotowski, Caroline Seyler, J. D. Kirkpatrick, Douwe J.J. van Hinsbergen

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicDrilling and Well Engineering
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSubductionGeologyMineralMaterials scienceSeismologyMetallurgyTectonics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Subduction initiation often begins with slow, forced convergence, switches ‘on’ catastrophically as the slab collapses into the mantle, and then evolves to steady-state, self-sustained sinking that drives global plate movements. Numerical models suggest that the collapse phase implies sudden weakening of the plate interface. However, geological records of subduction infancy preserved as metamorphosed oceanic crust accreted beneath ophiolites (i.e., metamorphic soles) present a paradox. During the pre-collapse period that may last 2–15 million years, the nascent plate interface is hot, whereas during collapse, shear zone temperatures plummet, which typically strengthens rocks. So, how does cooling cause weakening? Here, we show microstructures of metamorphic sole rocks from Mont Albert (Québec, Canada) that demonstrate that upon cooling, metamorphic mineralogy became more heterogeneous, average grain size decreased, and deformation mechanisms shifted from dislocation-accommodated to fluid-assisted and grain size sensitive, which culminated in drastic rheological weakening. Quartz piezometry indicates that flow stress increased with cooling, but flow laws indicate that the colder rocks exhibited lower viscosity, and therefore could localize strain. Interface viscosity initially rose with cooling, but upon reaching a threshold where major metamorphic minerals changed, dropped from >10 18 to <10 17 Pa-s. Cooling-induced mineral-mechanical changes thus drove rheological weakening, and provide a general mechanism explaining slab collapse and the transition to self-sustaining subduction. This implies that strain localization is inherent to modern metamorphosed oceanic lithosphere, and does not require a ‘stress drop’. The next step to understanding subduction initiation is identifying causes of high temperatures and incipient cooling during the pre-collapse phase.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.137
Threshold uncertainty score0.273

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.015
GPT teacher head0.229
Teacher spread0.214 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same topicDrilling and Well Engineering→French-language works237,207→