Research the Impact on Stock Index and Stock Index Future under the Trade Policies Adjustment -- Based on China and the US
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In reset years, many international uncertainties emerge, especially in trade policies. The US announced a higher tariff on imported commodities manufactured in China, Mexico, and Canada on 1 February 2025. The higher trade barrier gives a hint to explore how the uncertain trade policies affect the spot and future market under the case that most countries’ economies are connected tightly in the global market. This research estimates the impact of trade policy uncertainty on the stock index and stock index future. Fitting the VECM model during the influence persisting in the spot and future market and the whole period the research is conducted to test the return spillover effect between the CSI 300 index and the CSI 300 index future. After examining the return of spot and future, there is a spillover effect in the spot and future market, meanwhile, the price discovery of the future still works under the dynamic changes.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it