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Record W4412031437 · doi:10.1016/j.icarus.2025.116732

Physical characteristics of Martian south polar ices determined by spatial- and intimate-mixture modeling

2025· article· en· W4412031437 on OpenAlexfundno aff
W. M. Calvin, S. F. A. Cartwright, Ava E. Covington

Bibliographic record

VenueIcarus · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicPlanetary Science and Exploration
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersUniversity of Nevada, RenoFulbright AssociationPlanetary Science DivisionNational Aeronautics and Space AdministrationNevada Space Grant ConsortiumFulbright Canada
KeywordsAstrobiologyMartianPolarAtmosphere of MarsEnvironmental scienceMars Exploration ProgramAtmospheric sciencesMaterials scienceAstronomyPhysics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Twenty-one spectral types for the perennial Martian south polar ices were determined from the Compact Reconnaissance Imaging Spectrometer for Mars (CRISM) data using k-means clustering. These data are higher spatial resolution than any previous measurement of these ices. We present both linear and radiative transfer models of those CRISM spectral types to determine the relative abundance and effective grain size of the three components that make up these surfaces: carbon dioxide ice, water ice and non-ice material. Most cluster means are well represented by a linear combination of five spectra, two types of CO 2 ice, two types of water ice and a non-ice surface. To first order, each CRISM pixel is comprised of sub-pixel spatial mixtures of these five. We then use radiative transfer models to determine the best fit effective grain size and relative abundance of the five components. We use a relatively featureless area of the polar layered deposits for the non-ice component. Our models are consistent with prior modeling work and show very large grain sizes (mm to cm) in the residual CO 2 with very small amounts of water (<0.04 wt%). Water dominated terrains have a wide range of grain sizes but are uniformly ~80 % water ice. We identify a unique spectral type (C1) that does not have an equivalent in prior studies and may represent CO 2 ice deposited when the atmosphere contained less water vapor following the dust storm of MY28. Plain language summary Ices at the south pole of Mars show absorption features associated with water ice, carbon dioxide ice and non-ice material. Prior work identified twenty-one spectral types that range in appearance from only carbon dioxide ice (CO 2 ) to only water ice (H 2 O) with many mixtures in between these two. For the first time we model these mixed spectra using both linear least squares statistical approaches and more sophisticated models that account for the interaction of light with individual material grains where different grains are closely packed together. Most mixed spectra are well matched by the simple linear least squares fit of five different components. We then model those five components using the close-packing model. We find for the CO 2 only ices the grains are very large and have minute amounts of water. For water ice dominated spectra they consistently are ~80 % water 20 % non-ice material. One spectral type is unique and may reflect special conditions that occurred during one year when Mars experienced a large global dust storm.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.008
Threshold uncertainty score0.017

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.007
GPT teacher head0.219
Teacher spread0.213 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractno

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