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Record W4412075563 · doi:10.1101/2025.07.06.25330981

How often did syphilis tests have corresponding HIV tests in Ontario, Canada? A retrospective analysis of comprehensive laboratory data

2025· preprint· en· W4412075563 on OpenAlexaffabout
Sean Colyer, Ellen G. Avery, Abigail Kroch, Juan Liu, Austin Zygmunt, Maya Kesler, Ashleigh Sullivan, Vanessa Tran

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicSyphilis Diagnosis and Treatment
Canadian institutionsOntario HIV Treatment NetworkUniversity of OttawaUniversity of TorontoPublic Health OntarioToronto Public HealthPublic Health Agency of Canada
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSyphilisHuman immunodeficiency virus (HIV)MedicineVirologyData scienceComputer science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT Objectives Canadian guidelines recommend HIV testing for individuals being evaluated for syphilis. Our objective was to examine three aspects of HIV testing (i.e., if a HIV test occurred, timing of HIV test in relation to syphilis test, and the proportion with a positive HIV test result) among syphilis tests between 2017 and 2022 from individuals with no evidence of a previous HIV diagnosis. Design and setting This study is a retrospective analysis of comprehensive laboratory testing data from Ontario’s provincial public health laboratory. Participants Direct fluorescent antibody (DFA) and serological non-prenatal syphilis tests from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2022, from individuals aged ≥15 years with no evidence of a previous HIV diagnosis (N = 3,001,058 total tests). Positive syphilis tests were categorized using the rapid plasma reagin (RPR) titre as “current” (DFA+/RPR ≥1:8) or “historical” (RPR <1:8). Exposure categories were assigned using individually-linked HIV exposure category data retrieved from the laboratory’s HIV database. Primary and secondary outcome measures Number and proportion of syphilis tests that had a corresponding HIV test on the same day or within 7/28/90/180 days, and among those with an HIV test within 28 days, number and proportion that had an HIV-positive test result. Results From 2017 - 2022, 1,516,726 and 1,484,332 syphilis tests among males and females, respectively, were included in the analysis. Individuals with a positive syphilis result were less likely to be tested for HIV within 28 days of their syphilis test compared to those with a negative syphilis test result (74.7% versus 91.1% in males, 97.5% CI [-0.17, -0.16], 65.2% versus 92.4% in females, 97.5% CI [-0.28, -0.26]). Males with “current” positive syphilis test results were less likely than males with “historical” positive syphilis results to be tested for HIV within 28 days (69.1% versus 76.6%, 97.5% CI [-0.084, -0.066]); this was not true in females (67.1% versus 64.4%, 97.5% CI [0.0062, 0.049]). Males overall and males with “current” syphilis were more likely to be diagnosed as HIV-positive (p<0.025). Conclusions Most individuals who tested for syphilis at PHO were also tested for HIV, though those positive for syphilis were less likely to be tested, representing an opportunity for enhanced HIV testing. Ensuring that syphilis-positive individuals are tested for HIV may identify previously undiagnosed individuals living with HIV.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.127
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.047
GPT teacher head0.303
Teacher spread0.256 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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