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Record W4412125650 · doi:10.1200/oa-24-00101

Increasing Cervical Cancer Rates Among Women Age 35-54 Years in Canada: Age-Specific Cervical Cancer Incidence Trends in Canada, 1992-2022

2025· article· en· W4412125650 on OpenAlexaffabout
Ioana Nicolau, Matthew T. Warkentin, Kirk Graff, Corinne Doll, Heather E. Bryant, Darren R. Brenner

Bibliographic record

VenueJCO oncology advances. · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicCervical Cancer and HPV Research
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Calgary
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCervical cancerIncidence (geometry)MedicineCancerDemographyGynecologyObstetricsInternal medicineSociology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

PURPOSE: The vast majority of cervical cancer is preventable through human papillomavirus vaccination and screening with cytology or DNA testing. After decades of progress, recent cervical cancer trends in Western populations show a plateau or modest increase in incidence rates. Further investigation is required to understand the drivers of these emerging trends. In this study, we examined age-specific cervical cancer incidence rates in Canada from 1992 to 2022. METHODS: Data were obtained from the Canadian Cancer Registry maintained by Statistics Canada, which included cancer cases, population counts, and incidence rates of cervical cancer by age and province for the period 1992 to 2022. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to estimate temporal incidence trends across age groups. RESULTS: Cervical cancer incidence rates in Canada decreased among women age 25-34 years and those 65 years and older since 1992. Incidence rates among women age 35-44 years and 45-54 years have increased by 1.1% (95% CI, 0.5 to 2.5) and 1.6% (95% CI, -0.1 to 8.6) per year since 2001 and 2012, respectively. In 2022, the highest incidence rate of cervical cancer was among women age 35-44 years (18.1 per 100,000 women), which is comparable with rates in 1992. CONCLUSION: Cervical cancer incidence rates have been increasing in recent years among women age 35-54 years. This cohort may be falling into a cancer prevention gap. Targeted public health interventions are warranted to address the rising incidence of cervical cancer among this cohort of Canadian women.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.030
Threshold uncertainty score0.218

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0030.006
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.022
GPT teacher head0.353
Teacher spread0.332 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueJCO oncology advances.Same topicCervical Cancer and HPV ResearchFrench-language works237,207