Abstract A058: Multimodal generative AI jointly learns pathology and clinical data to synthesize a multinational lung cancer cohort
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background: Machine learning models require large, diverse datasets which can be challenging to acquire, even more so for multimodal and paired histology data. Within the I3LUNG European Funded project (NCT05537922), we evaluated multimodal synthetic data generation as a solution to enable domain-specific pretraining and imputation in NSCLC patients treated with immunotherapy (IO) using multimodal data. Methods: Our two-stage method included multimodal data simulation and AI-enabled data evaluation. First, a cross-modal autoencoder jointly embedded histology foundation model features with key clinical features: PD-L1 expression, smoking status, baseline ECOG performance status, histologic subtype, gender, metastatic sites, progression and survival events, LDH, BMI, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and progression free survival (PFS). The joint latent spaced was sampled using a Gaussian Copula model to generate synthetic patients with coherent multimodal features. Second, to evaluate the fidelity of synthetic clinical representations, we trained a deep neural network models using Cox proportional hazards endpoints on real and simulated data to predict PFS, validating on held-out real patient data. Additionally, we used HistoXGAN to generate paired histology tile images for each synthetic patient. Results: We analyzed NSCLC patients (N=1813) treated with immunotherapy from five centers, split into training (n=1630) and test (n=183) cohorts. The synthetic data matched the original distributions, with minimal differences in continuous features (t-test p > 0.05 and mean differences: BMI -1.72%, PFS -0.37%, LDH -9.18%) and categorical ones (chi-square p > 0.05 and maximum class proportion differences of 3.9%, 15.5%, and 1.2% for bone metastasis, PD-L1 expression, and smoking history respectively). Models trained on synthetic data (N=1000) performed similarly to real data. In validation, the Cox model trained on synthetic data achieved a c-index of 0.683, versus 0.679 for real data (0.6% relative difference). Both synthetic and real data identified consistent prognostic factors (HR [95% CI]): bone metastases (real: 2.36 [1.39-4.80], synthetic: 2.46 [1.39-3.77]), LDH (real: 1.60 [1.16-2.69], synthetic: 1.48 [1.22-2.39]), and liver metastases (real: 1.52 [1.24-3.69], synthetic: 1.46 [1.11-2.80]). Conclusions: Our multimodal synthetic data successfully captured complex multi-feature relationships predictive of PFS in NSCLC patients treated with IO. Synthetic data enables cross-institutional model development while increasing patient privacy, with minimal impact on model performance. This approach paves the way for data democratization, fostering rapid collaboration and mutual validation of AI algorithms. Citation Format: Hanna M. Hieromnimon, Vanja Miskovic, Matteo Sacco, Alberto Ferrarin, Laura Mazzeo, Andrea Spagnoletti, Monica Ganzinelli, Cecilia Silvestri, Leonardo Provenzano, Claudia Proto, Nir Peled, Enriqueta Felip, Helena Linardou, Martin Reck, Francesco Trovo, Giuseppe Lo Russo, Marina Chiara. Garassino, Samantha J. Riesenfeld, Alexander T. Pearson, Arsela Prelaj. Multimodal generative AI jointly learns pathology and clinical data to synthesize a multinational lung cancer cohort [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference in Cancer Research: Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning; 2025 Jul 10-12; Montreal, QC, Canada. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2025;31(13_Suppl):Abstract nr A058.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".