P.142 Development and validation of a molecular classifier of meningiomas
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Meningiomas exhibit considerable heterogeneity. We previously identified four distinct molecular groups (immunogenic, NF2-wildtype, hypermetabolic, proliferative) which address much of this heterogeneity. Despite their utility, the stochasticity of clustering methods and the requirement of multi-omics data limits the potential for classifying cases in the clinical setting. Methods: Using an international cohort of 1698 meningiomas, we constructed and validated a machine learning-based molecular classifier using DNA methylation alone. Original and newly-predicted molecular groups were compared using DNA methylation, RNA sequencing, whole exome sequencing, and clinical outcomes. Results: Group-specific outcomes in the validation cohort were nearly identical to those originally described, with median PFS of 7.4 (4.9-Inf) years in hypermetabolic tumors and 2.5 (2.3-5.3) years in proliferative tumors (not reached in the other groups). Predicted NF2-wildtype cases had no NF2 mutations, and 51.4% had others mutations previously described in this group. RNA pathway analysis revealed upregulation of immune-related pathways in the immunogenic group, metabolic pathways in the hypermetabolic group and cell-cycle programs in the proliferative group. Bulk deconvolution similarly revealed enrichment of macrophages in immunogenic tumours and neoplastic cells in hypermetabolic/proliferative tumours. Conclusions: Our DNA methylation-based classifier faithfully recapitulates the biology and outcomes of the original molecular groups allowing for their widespread clinical implementation.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.010 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".