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Record W4412463642 · doi:10.1002/qj.5037

A climatology of trapped lee waves over Britain and Ireland obtained using deep learning on high‐resolution model output

2025· article· en· W4412463642 on OpenAlexaff
J.E.R. Coney, Andrew Ross, Leif Denby, He Wang, Simon Vosper, Annelize van Niekerk

Bibliographic record

VenueQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicClimate variability and models
Canadian institutionsArtificial Intelligence in Medicine (Canada)
FundersNatural Environment Research CouncilMet Office
KeywordsHindcastClimatologyAmplitudeGeologyTropical waveMeteorologyForcing (mathematics)GeographyPhysics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT This article presents a climatology of trapped lee waves over Britain and Ireland obtained through deep learning. Several deep‐learning models trained to diagnose lee‐wave occurrence, amplitude, wavelength, and orientation are applied to a 31‐year high‐resolution hindcast dataset covering 1982–2012, from UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) data, driven by ERA‐Interim reanalysis data. Building on previous work to examine lee‐wave characteristics over Britain and Ireland, this study applies a new technique to a much larger dataset than has been used in the past. There is little diurnal variability observed in the occurrence and characteristics of lee waves. Spatially, most lee waves occur over hilly regions, such as the Scottish Highlands, the Lake District and the Pennines in England, and North Wales. Seasonally, lee waves occur more in the winter months than in the summer. The link between synoptic weather patterns and lee waves is quantified, with more lee waves produced and a higher likelihood of higher amplitude waves under patterns with faster synoptic wind speeds, such as the positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO+). The mean orientation of waves is broadly in line with the synoptic wind direction, though with a large spread in some cases. High horizontal wind speeds aloft are a necessary but not sufficient indicator of high‐amplitude lee waves. When other meteorological variables are used to predict the prevalence of lee waves using a random forest, the Scorer parameter is the most important for predicting the generation of lee waves alongside horizontal wind speed: there is less importance placed on the stability. This climatology provides a novel data‐driven insight into the formation and propagation of lee waves over Britain and Ireland.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.100
Threshold uncertainty score0.200

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.016
GPT teacher head0.245
Teacher spread0.228 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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