Performance of Large Language Models in the Cognitive Analysis of Misinformation: Evaluation Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background Public discourse is significantly impacted by the rapid spread of misinformation on social media platforms. Human moderators, while capable of performing well, face many challenges due to scalability. While large language models (LLMs) show great potential across various language tasks, their capacity for cognitive and contextual analysis, in detecting and interpreting misinformation, remains less evaluated. Objective This study evaluates the effectiveness of LLMs in detecting and interpreting misinformation compared to human annotators, focusing on tasks requiring cognitive analysis and complex judgment. Additionally, we analyze the influence of different prompt engineering strategies on model performance and discuss ethical considerations for using LLMs in content moderation systems. Methods We evaluated 4 OpenAI models against a panel of human annotators using a subset of posts from the MuMiN dataset. Each model and human annotator responded to structured questions on misinformation, following an established cognitive framework. Both human annotators and LLMs also provided scores indicating how confident they were in their responses. Various prompting strategies were used in this research, including: 0-shot, few-shot, and chain-of-thought, with performance evaluated through precision, recall, F1-score, and accuracy. We used statistical tests, including the McNemar test, to quantitatively assess differences between LLM and human ratings of misinformation. Results GPT-4 Turbo with chain-of-thought prompting achieved the highest performance of all LLMs for detecting misinformation, with an accuracy of 67.2% and an F1-score of 78.3%, but was outperformed by human annotators, who achieved 70.1% accuracy and an F1-score of 81%. LLMs performed well in tasks involving logical reasoning and straightforward misinformation detection, but struggled with complex judgments, including detecting sarcasm, understanding misinformation, and analyzing user intent. LLM confidence scores positively correlated with accuracy in simpler tasks (r=0.72, P<.01) but were less reliable in subjective and complex contextual evaluations. Conclusions LLMs show significant potential for automating misinformation detection. Their limitations in understanding and interpreting these posts highlight the current necessity of human oversight. A hybrid framework combining LLMs for preliminary screening with human moderators for more complex evaluation presents a promising future direction. Future research could prioritize the fine-tuning of LLMs using datasets that emphasize cognitive and emotional linguistic features, alongside the development of advanced prompting techniques.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".