Differentiation of COVID-19 from other types of viral pneumonia and severity scoring on baseline chest radiographs: Comparison of deep learning with multi-reader evaluation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Chest X-ray (CXR) imaging plays a pivotal role in the diagnosis and prognosis of viral pneumonia. However, distinguishing COVID-19 CXRs from other viral infections remains challenging due to highly similar radiographic features. Most existing deep learning (DL) models focus on differentiating COVID-19 from community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) rather than other viral pneumonias and often overlook baseline CXRs, missing the critical window for early detection and intervention. Moreover, manual severity scoring of COVID-19 CXRs by radiologists is subjective and time-intensive, highlighting the need for automated systems. This study introduces a DL system for distinguishing COVID-19 from other viral pneumonias on baseline CXRs acquired within three days of PCR testing, and for automated severity scoring of COVID-19 CXRs. The system was developed using a dataset of 2,547 patients (808 COVID-19, 936 non-COVID viral pneumonia, and 803 normal cases) and validated externally on several publicly accessible datasets. Compared to four experienced radiologists, the model achieved higher diagnostic accuracy (76.4% vs. 71.8%) and enhanced COVID-19 identification (F1-score: 74.1% vs. 61.3%), with an AUC of 93% for distinguishing between viral pneumonia and normal cases, and 89.8% for differentiating COVID-19 from other viral pneumonias. The severity-scoring module exhibited a high Pearson correlation of 93% and a low mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.35 compared to the radiologists' consensus. External validation on independent public datasets confirmed the model's generalizability. Subgroup analyses stratified by patient age, sex, and severity levels further demonstrated consistent performance, supporting the system's robustness across diverse clinical populations. These findings suggest that the proposed DL system could assist radiologists in the early diagnosis and severity assessment of COVID-19 from baseline CXRs, particularly in resource-limited settings.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".