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Record W4412732803 · doi:10.3389/fepid.2025.1605058

Mapping climate change-driven epidemics

2025· article· en· W4412732803 on OpenAlexafffund
Anna Ignaszak

Bibliographic record

VenueFrontiers in Epidemiology · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicZoonotic diseases and public health
Canadian institutionsBrock UniversityUniversity of New Brunswick
FundersCanadian Institutes of Health Research
KeywordsClimate changeGeographyClimatologyGeologyOceanography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The recent analysis by Mora and colleagues revealed that over 277 diseases can worsen due to climatic hazards resulting from greenhouse gas emissions. Specifically, more than 58% of known human diseases can be aggravated by climate change. Furthermore, there are over 1,000 pathways through which various climatic hazards have contributed to disease outbreaks, primarily due to the diversity of pathogens. This analysis also urges immediate action to address the root of the problem-reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Numerous climatic hazards affect the incidence of human pathogenic diseases. Unfortunately, due to the complexity and multifaceted nature of the problem, there cannot be a single comprehensive solution to minimize climate-driven outbreaks. This study seeks to identify outbreaks of specific diseases categorized as epidemics, whose incidence is strongly correlated with global warming. The focus of this analysis is on (1) organizations responding to climate-related diseases to decelerate the incidence rates; (2) to call for a new disciplines in epidemiology that focuses exclusively on climate change-related prediction for future pandemics; (3) looking at the problem from the patient's point of view-how do non-medical/health professionals contribute to minimizing the spread of climate-related diseases?; (4) to analyze outbreaks vs. urbanization/pollution/increase in population density and public health policies; also (5) to verify the vaccination coverage vs. case reduction rate.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.395
Threshold uncertainty score0.626

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.069
GPT teacher head0.369
Teacher spread0.301 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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