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Record W4412826612 · doi:10.1093/ofid/ofaf455

All-cause and Cause-specific Mortality in People With HIV in Italy in 1997–2022: Data From the Icona Cohort

2025· article· en· W4412826612 on OpenAlexaff
Simone Lanini, Andrea De Vito, S De Benedittis, Maria Mazzitelli, Manuela Ceccarelli, Roberta Gagliardini, Giordano Madeddu, Eugenia Quiros-Roldan, Enrico Girardi, Davide Checchi, Giuseppe Lapadula, Carlo Tascini, Alessandro Tavelli, Andrea Antinori, Antonella d'Arminio Monforte

Bibliographic record

VenueOpen Forum Infectious Diseases · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicHIV-related health complications and treatments
Canadian institutionsTula Foundation
FundersViiV HealthcareGilead Sciences
KeywordsMedicinePoisson regressionCohortPsychological interventionHuman immunodeficiency virus (HIV)Mortality rateIncidence (geometry)DemographyRate ratioCohort studyAntiretroviral therapyPediatricsInternal medicinePopulationConfidence intervalViral loadFamily medicineEnvironmental health

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Background: Understanding the evolution and dynamics of deaths in people with HIV (PWH) is crucial to tailor interventions aiming at improving PWH long-term well-being. We aimed to assess all-cause and cause-specific mortality in PWH in Italy. Methods: PWH enrolled before antiretroviral start from Icona cohort (78 Italian HIV clinics) between 1997 and 2021 (last observation December 2022) were included. Mortality was reported as incidence rate per 100 person-years of follow-up (PYFU). The mortality incidence rate according to calendar period was estimated by Poisson regression model. Results: Overall, 17,006 PWH were included of whom 1584 (9.31%) died. The highest mortality rates were observed during the earliest calendar periods, with 2.67 (95% CI: 2.19-3.25) and 1.93 (95% CI: 1.67-2.22) deaths per 100 PYFU in 1997-1998 and 1999-2001, respectively. After 2010, mortality rates fell below 1 per 100 PYFU, reaching 0.74 (95% CI: 0.65-0.84) and 0.71 (95% CI: 0.63-0.80) in 2017-2019 and 2020-2022, respectively. A significant drop was observed for AIDS-related mortality in the first two periods from 1.45 (95% CI: 1.11-1.90) in 1997-1998 to 0.78 (95% CI: 0.62-0.97) deaths per 100 PYFU in 1999-2001. AIDS-related mortality continued to decrease in the subsequent years, with the lowest rate observed in the last two calendar periods: 0.10 (95% CI: 0.07-0.14) deaths per 100 person-years in 2017-2019 and 0.10 (95% CI: 0.08-0.15) deaths per 100 person-years in 2020-2022. Conclusions: All-cause mortality in PWH in Italy significantly decreased over time, mainly for a reduction in AIDS-related mortality.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.109
Threshold uncertainty score0.988

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.039
GPT teacher head0.347
Teacher spread0.308 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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