Investigating the impact of precipitation and temperature on snakebite mortality in India: A spatial case-crossover study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Our study explores the roles of precipitation and temperature in snakebite fatalities in India, with a focus on short-term effects and different lagged exposures. We propose the use of a spatial case-crossover model that accounts for spatially varying coefficients to assess these environmental exposures. While the spatial case-crossover model has primarily been applied to small area data, we extend its use to continuous spatial fields, allowing for more detailed regional analysis. The spatial model is implemented using MCMC (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) methods, allowing us to capture regional variations in the impacts of environmental factors on snakebite mortality. Our findings indicate that snakebite fatalities are primarily influenced by seasonality rather than precipitation or temperature, with notable spatial heterogeneity in these effects. This emphasizes the importance of spatially explicit models in understanding snakebite-related fatalities and the complexities of this public health challenge.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".