Using machine learning methods to investigate the role of volatile organic compounds in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Aims: Approximately 25%-30% of the global population is affected by non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This study aimed to explore whether NAFLD could be effectively detected using 341 volatile organic compounds (VOCs) via 10 machine learning (Mach-L) algorithms in a cohort of 1,501 individuals. Methods: Participants were selected from the Taiwan MJ cohort, which includes comprehensive demographic, biochemical, lifestyle, and VOCs data. NAFLD was diagnosed by experienced gastroenterologists. Exhaled breath samples were collected using a 1.0-L aluminum bag (late expiratory fraction) and analyzed with selected-ion flow-tube mass spectrometry. Ten Mach-L techniques were employed to evaluate two predictive models: Model 1 (demographic, lifestyle, and biochemical data), and Model 2 (Model 1 + VOCs), assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results: Subjects with NAFLD had significantly higher values for age, BMI, blood pressure, and other biomedical markers, except for eGFR and HDL-C. Key predictors of NAFLD included BMI, triglycerides (TG), uric acid (UA), fasting plasma glucose (FPG), γ-GT, gender, LDL-C, and sleep duration. The addition of VOCs to Model 1 improved the AUC from 0.722 ± 0.149 to 0.770 ± 0.264 (p < 0.001). Ten VOCs were identified as the most influential, in order of importance: 2-propanol, acetone, butyl 2-methylbutanoate, diethylethanolamine, urethane, β-caryophyllene, furfural, tridecane, 4-methyloctanoic acid, and (S)-2-methyl-1-butanol. Conclusion: Incorporating VOCs into traditional demographic, biochemical, and lifestyle data significantly enhanced the model's predictive performance. This suggests that VOCs may be associated with the underlying pathophysiology of NAFLD.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".