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Record W4413062973 · doi:10.1061/jwrmd5.wreng-6887

Battle of Water Demand Forecasting

2025· article· en· W4413062973 on OpenAlexaff
Stefano Alvisi, Marco Franchini, Valentina Marsili, Filippo Mazzoni, Elad Salomons, Mashor Housh, Ahmed A. Abokifa, Kristina Arsova, Faten Ayyash, Hyun-Joo Bae, Raquel Barreira, Lindsay Basto, Siming Bayer, Emily Zechman Berglund, Daniela Biondi, Fatemeh Boloukasli ahmadgourabi, Bruno Brentan, João Caetano, Felipe Campos, Huizhe Cao, Sergio Cardona, E. Alvarado, Nelson Carriço, Georgios Alexandros Chatzistefanou, Yesid Coy, Enrico Creaco, Salvatore Cuomo, Arno de Klerk, Armando Di Nardo, Morgan DiCarlo, Ulrich Dittmer, R. Dziedzic, Amin E. Bakhshipour, Δημήτριος Γ. Ηλιάδης, Raziyeh Farmani, Bruno Ferreira, Annalaura Gabriele, Maria Mercedes Gamboa-Medina, Fei Gao, Jinliang Gao, Rudy Gargano, Mohammadali Geranmehr, Carlo Giudicianni, Konstantinos Glynis, Santiago Gómez, Laura González, Matthias Groß, Hua Guo, Morad Nosrati Habibi, Ali Haghighi, Barbara Hammer, Liesel Hans, Matthew Hayslep, Yuwei He, Luca Hermes, Manuel Herrera, Fabian Hinder, Bing Hui Hou, Alfredo Iglesias-Rey, Pedro L. Iglesias‐Rey, In‐Su Jang, Joaquín Izquierdo, M. S. Jahangir, Carlos Jara‐Arriagada, Bradley Jenks, Gregor Johnen, Mostapha Kalami Heris, Mulenga Kalumba, Minsoo Kang, Melica Khashei Varnamkhasti, Kwang‐Ju Kim, Jens Kley-Holsteg, T.K. Ko, Alireza Koochali, Panagiotis Kossieris, Phoebe Koundouri, Christian Kühnert, Adam Kulaczkowski, Juneseok Lee, K. Li, Yanmei Li, Huan Liu, Yuanyang Liu, C. A. López-Hojas, Andreas Maier, Christos Makropoulos, F. Javier Martínez-Solano, Niuosha Hedaiaty Marzouny, Andrea Menapace, Christos Michalopoulos, George Moraitis, Hebatullah Yehia Saad Mousa, Hossein Namdari, Dionysios Nikolopoulos, Martin Oberascher, Avi Ostfeld, Mario Pagano, Juan Perafán, Gal Perelman, Jorge E. Pesantez, Marios M. Polycarpou, Maria Grazia Quarta, Qidong Que, John Quilty, Claudia Quintiliani, A. Ramachandran, Gilberto Reynoso-Meza, Victoria Rodríguez, Yaniv Romano, Juan Saldarriaga, Aliasger K. Salem, Panagiotis Samartzis, Giovanni Francesco Santonastaso, Dragan Savić, Vincenzo Schiano Di Cola, Dennis Schol, Alemtsehay G. Seyoum, Rong Shen, Kondwani Simukonda, Alexander Sinske, Robert Sitzenfrei, Björn Sonnenschein, Ivan Stoianov, Alejandra Tabares, E. Todini, Lydia Tsiami, Ioannis Tsoukalas, Aly-Joy Ulusoy, Lydia Vamvakeridou-Lyroudia, Adrian van Heerden, Jonas Vaquet, Valerie Vaquet, Steffen Wallner, Dehui Wang, Shuicai Wu, Wenyan Wu, Andreas Wünsch, Jie Yu, Ariele Zanfei, Dennis Zanutto, Haiyang Zhang, Mathias Ziebarth, Florian Ziel, Jiyan Zou

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Water Resources Planning and Management · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicWater resources management and optimization
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
Fundersnot available
KeywordsBattleDemand forecastingEconomicsOperations researchNatural resource economicsEnvironmental scienceWater resource managementEngineeringComputer scienceHistoryArchaeology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

As part of the Battle of Water Networks competition series, the Battle of Water Demand Forecasting (BWDF) was organized in the context of the 3rd Water Distribution Systems Analysis and Computing and Control in the Water Industry (WDSA-CCWI) joint conference held in Ferrara (Italy) in 2024. In line with the previous editions of the Battle of Water Networks—the main objective of which was to address a specific problem related to the design and operation of water distribution networks—the BWDF aims to compare the effectiveness of methods for the short-term forecast of urban water demand in a set of real district metered areas. During the conference, 31 teams across the world participated in the BWDF and presented their approaches. The results obtained demonstrate the importance of (1) considering integrated approaches for short-term water demand forecasting; and (2) evaluating their performance in relation to more than one metric, case study, and period.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.824
Threshold uncertainty score0.315

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.011
GPT teacher head0.201
Teacher spread0.190 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations8
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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