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Record W4413086618 · doi:10.1080/00085030.2025.2516297

Post-mortem interval estimation in the tropical climate of Southern Nigeria

2025· article· en· W4413086618 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Izuchukwu Stanley Etoniru, Jolandie Myburgh, Maryna Steyn, Desiré Brits

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Society of Forensic Science Journal · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldAgricultural and Biological Sciences
TopicForensic Entomology and Diptera Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsTropical climateEstimationInterval (graph theory)ClimatologyGeographyTropical marine climateInterval estimationStatisticsEnvironmental scienceGeologyMathematicsMeteorologyConfidence intervalArchaeologyEconomicsCombinatorics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Post-mortem interval (PMI) estimation is the first step in the investigation of decomposing remains. The absence of locally derived methods, and a dearth of forensic experts, make PMI estimation difficult in Nigeria. This study aimed to assess decomposition rates in southern Nigeria and to derive formulae for PMI estimation by using quantitative variables, accumulated degree days (ADD) and total body score (TBS), using a pig model (n = 20). A longitudinal examination of TBS and ADD was conducted over 14 months, during the dry and wet seasons. Scatter plots between TBS and PMI, and TBS and ADD were used to show decomposition patterns and loglinear random-effects maximum likelihood regression was used to produce linear regression formulae for PMI estimation. Overall, decomposition progressed rapidly. Shorter PMIs were associated with more advanced decomposition when compared to studies in temperate regions. Despite similar average daily temperatures in the wet and dry seasons, there were marked differences in decomposition patterns between the seasons, with the wet season exhibiting more rapid decomposition rates. This demonstrates the importance of rainfall and humidity in decomposition rates. The derived regression formulae for ADD and PMI will provide a much-needed location-specific method for PMI estimation in Nigeria and regions with similar climates.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.270
Threshold uncertainty score0.940

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.013
GPT teacher head0.246
Teacher spread0.233 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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