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Record W4413279855 · doi:10.64403/majp0259

Cash Bail and Systemic Inequity

2025· article· en· W4413279855 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Edwine Joshua Ochieng Otieno Otieno

Bibliographic record

VenueNational Security Journal of National Defence University-Kenya · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicEconomic Theory and Policy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSystemic riskEconomicsKeynesian economicsFinancial crisis

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The apparatus of cash bail is devised to balance the presumption of innocence with a guarantee of court appearance, which has gradually railed against the existence of socioeconomic and ethnic inequality. This research yields a socio-legal critique of pretrial justice in Mombasa County, Kenya, examining how systemic bail inequities weaken governance credibility and intensify social exclusion. Utilising a multimethod approach, we explored thematic analysis of policy documents, court rulings, and NGO reports; interviews with police officers; regression modelling associating pretrial detention rates (2018–2023) with crime data; GIS-based hotspot mapping; and comparative case studies of bail reform in Germany and Canada. Quantitative results demonstrate that pretrial detention rates have an inverse relationship with community trust (β = –0.45, p < 0.01) and are inseparable from minor offences (3.2 % increase per 10 % rise in detention, p < 0.05), including terrorism recruitment. Logistic decline divulges that detention beyond seventy-two hours significantly raises the probability of reoffending in organised crime (OR = 1.8, p < 0.001). Spatial data analysis reveals coastal counties as points of interest where prolonged detention occurs simultaneously with radical activity. Qualitative intuitions bring to light that ethnic and economic discrimination in police bail decisions wears away civic faith and intensifies grievances that fanatic networks exploit. Considering experiences in other countries, we assert that impartial bail practices, emphasising risk-based assessments, non-monetary release options, and strengthened legal aid, are prerequisites for reinforcing social cohesion and national security. The analysis shows that pretrial justice updates should become part of security planning so bail works as a universal defence mechanism.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.277
Threshold uncertainty score0.558

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.018
GPT teacher head0.232
Teacher spread0.213 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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