Sectoral Contributions to Financial Market Resilience: Evidence from GCC Countries
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This study investigates the contributions of five key sectors—insurance, materials, utilities, real estate, and transport—to the financial markets of six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries from 2004 to 2023. Grounded in the Sectoral Linkage Theory and Endogenous Growth Theory, the study employs a Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (Panel ARDL) model to examine both short-term and long-term sectoral impacts on financial market resilience. The findings reveal that the insurance and transport sectors offer short-term market stimulation, but lack persistent effects. Conversely, the materials, utilities, and real estate sectors exhibit strong, long-run contributions to financial stability and economic diversification. These results highlight the asymmetric impact of sectoral dynamics on market performance in resource-rich contexts. This research contributes to the literature by providing empirical evidence on sectoral interdependence in oil-dependent economies and highlights the importance of structural diversification for sustainable financial resilience. The study provides actionable insights for policymakers and investors seeking to enhance market resilience and reduce reliance on hydrocarbon revenues through targeted sectoral development.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".