Canadian Wildfire Smoke Episode over Europe in October 2023: Lidar, Sun-Photometer, and Model Characterization of Smoke Layers Observed Above Sofia, Bulgaria
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Massive wildfires release enormous amounts of biomass-burning (BB) aerosols into the atmosphere, which might have a major impact on its thermal and radiative budget, as well as the environment and human health. This work presents the results of a study and characterization of a long-range transport episode of smoke aerosols from Canadian forest fires towards the entirety of Europe, as observed over Sofia, Bulgaria, in early October 2023. This study makes use of data from combined lidar, ceilometer, and sun-photometer measurements, supported by model and forecast data, meteorological radiosonde profiling, and (re)analyses, together with tracking and mapping of the aerosol air transport. A distinctive feature of the considered episode over Europe is the downward movement of the air masses, entraining smoke aerosols from the continental mid-troposphere down to the near-surface layers. The driving mechanism of the long-range transport of BB aerosols and their spread over Europe is revealed. Optical parameters of the registered aerosols are determined and vertically profiled with a high range resolution by lidar data analysis. A wide set of columnar optical and microphysical aerosol characteristics is also provided by sun-photometer measurements. The results show a dominance of relatively fine modes of dry smoke particles in the submicron size range, with a predominantly low degree of non-sphericity, indicating minimal up-size aging during the BB aerosol transport from Canada to the Sofia region. The average daily aerosol radiative forcing is determined by sun-photometer measurements and briefly discussed.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".