Neural operator surrogate models of plasma edge simulations: feasibility and data efficiency
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Simulation-based plasma scenario development plays a crucial role in designing next-generation tokamaks and fusion power plants. However, the inclusion of high-fidelity simulations of scrape-off layer turbulence and transient MHD events such as edge localized modes in highly iterative applications remains computationally prohibitive, limiting their use in design and control workflows. Understanding these phenomena is vital, as they govern heat flux on plasma-facing components, influencing reactor performance and material lifetime. This study explored Fourier neural operators (FNOs) as surrogate models to accelerate plasma simulations from the JOREK MHD and STORM turbulence codes. FNOs were trained on single-step rollouts and evaluated in terms of long-term predictive accuracy in an auto-regressive manner. To mitigate the computational burden of dataset generation, a transfer learning strategy was explored, leveraging low-fidelity simulations to improve performance on high-fidelity datasets. These results showed that FNOs effectively captured initial plasma evolution, including blob movement and density source localization for JOREK and STORM, respectively. However, long rollouts accumulated errors and exhibited sensitivity to certain physical phenomena, leading to non-monotonic error spikes. Transfer learning significantly reduced errors for small dataset sizes and short rollouts, achieving an order-of-magnitude reduction when transferring from low- to high-fidelity datasets. However, its effectiveness diminished with longer rollouts and larger dataset sizes, especially when applied to datasets with significantly different dynamics. Attempts to transfer models to previously unseen variables in simulations were unsuccessful, underscoring the limitations of transfer learning in this context. These findings demonstrate the promise of neural operators for accelerating fusion-relevant PDE simulations. However, they also highlight key challenges: improving long-term accuracy to mitigate error accumulation, capturing critical physical behaviors, and developing robust surrogates that effectively leverage multi-fidelity, multi-physics datasets.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.015 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".