Effects of Petrophysical Parameters on Sedimentary Rock Strength Prediction: Implications of Machine Learning Approaches
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Machine learning-guided predictive models are attractive in rock modeling for different scholars to obtain continuous profiles of rock compressive strength in rock engineering. The major objectives of the study are to assess the implications of machine learning (ML)-based connectionist models to obtain the unconfined compressive strength (UCS) of rock, to perform parametric sensitivity analysis on petrophysical parameters, and to develop an improved correlation for UCS prediction. The least-squares support vector machine (LSSVM) is applied to develop data-driven models for the prediction of UCS. Additionally, the random forest (RF) algorithm is applied to verify the effectiveness of predictive models. A database containing well-logging data is processed and utilized to construct connectionist models to obtain UCS. For the efficacy of predictive models, statistical performance indicators such as the coefficient of determination (CC), average percentage relative error, and maximum average percentage error are utilized in the study. It is revealed that the RF- and LSSVM-based models for predicting UCS perform excellently with high precision. Considering the parametric sensitivity analysis in the predictive models for UCS, the formation compressional wave velocity and formation gamma-ray are the most strongly contributing predictor variables rather than other input variables such as the modulus of elasticity, acoustic shear wave velocity, and rock bulk density. The improved correlation for predicting UCS shows high precision, achieving a CC of 96% and root mean squared error of 0.54 MPa. This systematic research workflow is significant and can be utilized for connectionist robust model development and variable selections in the petroleum and mining fields, such as predicting reservoir properties, the drilling rate of penetration, sanding potentiality of hydrocarbon reservoir rocks, and for the practical implications of boring and geotechnical engineering projects.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".