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An Equilibrium Analysis of Time-Varying and Flat Electricity Rates

2025· preprint· en· W4413440126 on OpenAlexaffabout
Larry Hughes

Bibliographic record

VenuePreprints.org · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicAdvanced Thermodynamics and Statistical Mechanics
Canadian institutionsDalhousie University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsElectricityEconomicsEnvironmental scienceEconometricsEngineeringElectrical engineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The methods identify the specific consumption distributions at which TOU or event-based are in energy- and cost-equilibrium with the domestic service tariff for residential customers. For the TOU structure, the analysis shows that customers must maintain a non-winter to winter-peak consumption ratio exceeding 3.0756 for cost neutrality, a condition rarely met by households with winter-dominant loads. In contrast, event-based structures require only minimal behavioral adjustments to achieve savings, with as little as 1.75% of annual consumption needing to be avoided during event periods to match domestic-service costs. Additional savings are observed with partial or full load shifting away from peak events. The findings highlight that while TOU may benefit households with high summer usage, event-based tariffs present a more practical and economically favorable option for residential customers living in the Canadian province of Nova Scotia. The paper concludes with implications for tariff selection and consumer behavior. This research will be of value to anyone considering designing a time-varying rate or having to choose between an existing flat rate tariff and a time-varying tariff.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.748
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.038
GPT teacher head0.346
Teacher spread0.308 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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