High-resolution Canada domain disturbance forcings suitable for land surface modeling applications
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Spatially explicit fire and harvest data are useful for driving land surface model (LSM) simulations of the carbon cycle. From 1985-present, numerous Canadian disturbance datasets exist. However, before the launch of Landsat-4 (1984), few are available. We create spatially explicit LSM disturbance drivers for Canada for 1740-2018. We catalog and harmonize spatial and aspatial datasets and develop a novel algorithm that reconstructs disturbance far back in time using stand age. Based on possible historical scenarios, we reconstruct 283-394 Mha of fire and 3.42 Mha of harvest in total Canada-wide from 1740-1918. After 1918, when spatial records are available, we supplement them by reconstructing 25.79-60.30 Mha of fire and 24.75 Mha of harvest. After 1984, we exclusively use spatially explicit records. We verify the algorithm by comparing the inputs and resultant drivers and examine diagnostic metrics to disentangle the contribution of spatial, aspatial, and stand-age data. The resulting drivers primarily capture stand-replacing disturbance on forested land. Our forcings and algorithm will improve the representation of disturbance-mediated impacts on Canada's terrestrial carbon cycle and possibly in other regions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".