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Record W4413783408 · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ae0057

Tree mortality provides early warning sign of ecosystem functional transition in coastal freshwater forested wetlands

2025· article· en· W4413783408 on OpenAlexaff
Maricar Aguilos, Ge Sun, James Bulluck, Merry Shi, Xinxueqi Han, Cameron Carter, Katie Brannum, Brandon Middlebrough, John Oliver Watts, James R. Webb, M. A. Whitley, Manaswini Ganjam, Ning Liu, Benju Baniya, Bhaskar Mitra, Prajaya Prajapati, Kevan J. Minick, Steven G. McNulty, Asko Noormets, John S. King

Bibliographic record

VenueEnvironmental Research Letters · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicCoastal wetland ecosystem dynamics
Canadian institutionsCampbell Scientific (Canada)
FundersLawrence Berkeley National LaboratorySouthern Research StationBiological and Environmental ResearchU.S. Forest ServiceNational Institute of Food and AgricultureU.S. Department of AgricultureU.S. Department of Energy
KeywordsWetlandEcosystemEnvironmental scienceWarning systemTree (set theory)Sign (mathematics)EcologyGeographyEnvironmental resource managementBiologyComputer science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Globally, coastal forested wetlands are increasingly affected by relative sea level rise. However, the mechanisms underlying coastal wetland degradation remain unclear. Using the eddy covariance approach, we evaluated the long-term (i.e. 2009–2019) net ecosystem exchange (NEE), associated hydrology, and ecosystem structural changes in a forested wetland in North Carolina, USA. We quantified tree mortality in response to changes in hydrology. The ecosystem shifted from a net C sink (NEE = − 3.68 Mg C ha−1 yr−1) pre-2010 to a net C source (NEE = 0.87 Mg C ha−1yr−1–7.59 Mg C ha−1 yr−1) afterward. We ascribe the ecosystem C loss to increasing tree mortality (i.e. from 1.6% in 2009 to 45.8% in 2019), partly due to relative sea level rise (R 2 = 0.62). Tree mortality, and consequent shift of NEE, provide early warning signs of a transition in this ecosystem more than 20 km inland from the coast.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.025
Threshold uncertainty score0.049

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.019
GPT teacher head0.253
Teacher spread0.234 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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