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Record W4413799600 · doi:10.1101/2025.08.23.671916

New insights into the extinction and recovery of marine vertebrates across the Permian–Triassic mass extinction event in the Dolomites, Southern Alps, Italy

2025· preprint· en· W4413799600 on OpenAlexaff
Baran Karapunar, Andrzej S. Wolniewicz, Carlo Romano, Péter Ozsvárt, Heriberto Rochín-Bañaga, Evelyn Kustatscher, Stella Z. Buchwald, Francesca Galasso, Donald W. Davis, Adriana López‐Arbarello, Herwig Prinoth, Massimo Bernardi, William J. Foster

Bibliographic record

VenuebioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicPaleontology and Evolutionary Biology
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
FundersNarodowa Agencja Wymiany AkademickiejHefei University of TechnologyHefei UniversityDeutsche ForschungsgemeinschaftAlexander von Humboldt-Stiftung
KeywordsExtinction eventPaleontologyPermianExtinction (optical mineralogy)Permian–Triassic extinction eventGeologyEvent (particle physics)EcologyGeographyBiologyBiological dispersalPhysicsAstrophysics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT The impact of the Permian–Triassic mass extinction on marine vertebrates is poorly known due to their scarce fossil record. Here, we report Acrodus sp. [Chondrichthyes], Bobasatrania aff. ladina [Osteichthyes] and an indeterminate actinopterygian from the Changhsingian Bellerophon Formation, and a saurosphargid reptile from the lower Spathian Val Badia Member of the Werfen Formation in the Dolomites, Italy. The saurosphargid is represented by a single vertebra, whose relatively tall neural spine indicates that it might belong to a new species. This is one of the oldest Sauropterygomorpha records worldwide and the first unambiguous occurrence of Saurosphargidae in the western Paleo-Tethys during the Early Triassic. These new findings suggest fishes were more diverse in this paleo-tropical shallow shelf community of the western Paleo-Tethys in the latest Permian than during the Early Triassic. The evolution of the new apex predator niche (Saurosphargidae) relatively shortly after the mass extinction event coincides with the reappearance of predatory cephalopods and precedes the full ecological and taxonomic recovery of benthic groups in the Dolomites community. This contrasts with previous hypotheses about the delayed recovery of higher trophic groups. Furthermore, we dated a surface sample with actinopterygian scales found at a Permian–Triassic boundary outcrop. The U–Pb indicates 248+/-1 Ma as a maximum depositional age, and radiolarian biostratigraphy indicates an Anisian age. This suggests age assignments to surface samples require caution. U–Pb dating further reveals an age discrepancy in the scales and the host rock, likely due to 206 Pb enrichment in scales during diagenesis.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.008
Threshold uncertainty score0.015

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.010
GPT teacher head0.209
Teacher spread0.199 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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