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Record W4414088136 · doi:10.54254/2754-1169/2024.26813

The Impact of the Russia-Ukraine Conflict on Oil Price Fluctuations

2025· article· en· W4414088136 on OpenAlexaff
Tong Shen

Bibliographic record

VenueAdvances in Economics Management and Political Sciences · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicMarket Dynamics and Volatility
Canadian institutionsYork University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsVolatility (finance)GeopoliticsSustainabilityOil priceOil supplyWork (physics)Energy marketSustainable developmentFossil fuel

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This work aims to analyze the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on oil price volatility and explore its potential mechanism. The study explores how this geopolitical event can disrupt production, transportation, and consumption in the oil industry, leading to dramatic fluctuations in oil prices. This article provides an in-depth analysis of the complex changes in the global oil market, including factors such as supply-demand imbalances, geopolitical risks, and market expectations. Together, these factors affect the functioning of the oil market. Research shows that the conflict not only brings uncertainty to global energy supplies, but also amplifies the volatility of oil prices through market psychological expectations and investor sentiment. To reduce the negative impact of these fluctuations on the global economy, the study proposes a number of strategies, such as optimizing the energy mix, strengthening international cooperation, improving market mechanisms, promoting industrial upgrading and strengthening consumer education. The objective of these strategies is to enhance the stability and sustainability of the global energy supply system, while supporting sustainable development.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.005
Threshold uncertainty score0.009

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.015
GPT teacher head0.284
Teacher spread0.270 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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