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Disequilibrium and soft tissue pump contributions to glacial CO2 drawdown

2025· preprint· en· W4414121815 on OpenAlexaff
William R. Gray, Molly Trudgill, Madison Shankle, Sarah Eggleston, Casimir de Lavergne, Eric D. Galbraith

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicRespiratory Support and Mechanisms
Canadian institutionsMcGill University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGlacial periodDisequilibriumDrawdown (hydrology)Pleistocene

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

A more ‘efficient’ biological pump is thought to have played a key role in glacial CO2 drawdown, with two principal mechanisms invoked to stem the CO2 ‘leak’ from the modern Southern Ocean. The first sees a strengthened soft tissue pump, associated with a reduction in the ocean’s ‘preformed’ nutrient inventory. The second sees an increase in air-sea CO2 disequilibrium (termed the disequilibrium pump). We use an Earth System Model (CM2Mc) to show the tracers radiocarbon (Δ14C) and oxygen (O2) exhibit distinct sensitivities to these two pumps: Δ14C is more sensitive to disequilibrium pump changes, whereas O2 is more sensitive to soft tissue pump changes, as expected from the processes underlying the relationships. We apply these pump-specific tracer stoichiometries to available deep ocean Δ14C and O2 proxy data from the LGM. Despite the sparsity of O2 data, the results show a consistent increase in soft tissue and disequilibrium DIC within the deep ocean of ~135 µmol/kg, with broadly comparable contributions from the two pumps. Our results imply both a reduction in air-sea gas exchange, likely linked to expansion and/or increased isolation of Antarctic Bottom Waters (AABW), as well as a slowdown of deep ocean overturning and diminished Southern Ocean upwelling. Notably, current ocean models struggle to simulate both of these changes simultaneously under glacial forcings. The combined changes in the soft tissue and disequilibrium DIC are of sufficient magnitude to explain the glacial reduction in atmospheric CO2 once a whole ocean alkalinity increase is accounted for.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.011
Threshold uncertainty score0.021

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.015
GPT teacher head0.330
Teacher spread0.315 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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