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Record W4414144559 · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/adfc7e

Permafrost vulnerability to climate change: understanding thaw dynamics and climate feedback of permafrost degradation

2025· article· en· W4414144559 on OpenAlexaff
Jing Tao, Anna Liljedahl, C. R. Burn, Guido Grosse, Jeannette Noetzli, S. J. Goetz, Thomas A. Douglas, Yuanhe Yang

Bibliographic record

VenueEnvironmental Research Letters · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicClimate change and permafrost
Canadian institutionsCarleton University
FundersLawrence Berkeley National LaboratoryStrategic Environmental Research and Development ProgramNuclear Safety and Security CommissionOffice of ScienceNational Aeronautics and Space AdministrationU.S. Department of EnergyNational Science Foundation
KeywordsPermafrostVulnerability (computing)Climate changeEarth system scienceBiogeochemical cycleGlobal warmingTemporal scales

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Permafrost regions are undergoing profound changes under a warming climate, with significant implications for Earth system feedback, ecosystems, and infrastructure. This editorial synthesizes findings from 35 interdisciplinary studies featured in this focus issue, which collectively advance our understanding of permafrost degradation dynamics and their cascading impacts. The contributions span a wide range of spatial scales from site-level process studies to regional syntheses. The studies encompass critical research scopes, including thaw processes, hydrology-ecosystem interactions, biogeochemical feedback, and emerging techniques in monitoring and modeling (e.g. AI and machine learning). Collectively, these studies highlight the critical importance of integrative, cross-disciplinary approaches for characterizing and understanding permafrost vulnerability. These studies also underscore the need for sustained investment in observational networks, methodological innovation, and coordinated synthesis efforts to improve predictive capabilities and understand long-term consequences of permafrost thaw and the associated adaptive responses in a rapidly evolving cryosphere.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.008
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.003
Threshold uncertainty score0.013

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.008
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0030.003
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0030.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.085
GPT teacher head0.315
Teacher spread0.230 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations5
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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Same venueEnvironmental Research LettersSame topicClimate change and permafrostFrench-language works237,207