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Record W4414202082 · doi:10.1101/2025.09.14.676066

Genomic prediction models based on a large-scale recombinant population allow quick breeding of high-yield rice

2025· preprint· en· W4414202082 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Toshiyuki Sakai, Akira Abe, Hiroki Takagi, Tomoaki Fujioka, Shinsuke Nakajo, Hiroki Yaegashi, Kaori Oikawa, Hiroe Utsushi, Kazue Ito, Satoshi Natsume, Motoki Shimizu, Takumi Takeda, Ryohei Terauchi

Bibliographic record

VenuebioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) · 2025
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldBiochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
TopicGenetic Mapping and Diversity in Plants and Animals
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersInstitute of GeneticsBio-oriented Technology Research Advancement InstitutionJapan Society for the Promotion of ScienceNational Agriculture and Food Research OrganizationResearch Organization of Information and Systems
KeywordsGenomic selectionPredictive modellingPopulationGenomicsBest linear unbiased predictionBreedSelection (genetic algorithm)Quantitative trait locus

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Rapid development of cultivars with optimal genome-wide allele combinations is essential for addressing agricultural challenges. However, constructing desired genotypes through conventional cross-breeding requires many generations, calling for a more efficient methodology. Here, we present a rapid breeding strategy that combines a large-scale recombinant population as starting material with interpretable genomic prediction models trained on that population. This approach enables efficient construction of target genotypes optimized for multiple traits in cultivars. To validate our strategy in rice ( Oryza sativa ), we established a nested association mapping population of 2,787 recombinant inbred lines derived from an elite cultivar ’Hitomebore’ and 19 diverse donors. We built highly accurate genomic prediction models using this population. We then used the models to estimate haplotype-specific effects and account for trade-offs among yield-related traits, and selected optimal lines and designed breeding schemes. Crossbreeding based on these schemes produced rice lines with the target genotypes for multiple yield-related traits, supporting the predicted effects and validating the effectiveness of our strategy. This genomic breeding approach provides a general framework for rapidly breeding cultivars able to meet the challenges posed by a changing environment.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.002
Threshold uncertainty score0.005

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.013
GPT teacher head0.201
Teacher spread0.187 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venuebioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)→Same topicGenetic Mapping and Diversity in Plants and Animals→French-language works237,207→