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Field Tests and Kinematic Measures Predict Winter Performance in Junior Cross-Country Skiers

2025· article· en· W4414243868 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Victor Feofilaktov, Samuel Headley, Daniel M. Smith

Bibliographic record

VenueMedicine & Science in Sports & Exercise · 2025
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicWinter Sports Injuries and Performance
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsKinematicsTest (biology)Alpine skiingCycle ergometerVariance (accounting)Regression analysis

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Cross-country (XC) skiing performance relies on maximal aerobic capacity, technical skills, strength, and power of sport-specific muscle groups. Previous studies have shown that roller-skiing and running tests accurately predict XC skiing performance. However, there is a lack of research on highly trained junior skiers, particularly regarding the relationship between maximum speed, muscular endurance, and kinematic parameters in summer field tests and XC skiing performance. PURPOSE: To develop predictive equations for cross-country skiing performance in junior skiers based on results from field tests and kinematics. METHODS: Thirty-two junior skiers (16.1 ± 1.3 years old, 12 females) completed various tests, including the Canadian strength test (CST), 3000 m running, Ten-step bounding, and three roller-skiing tests. Technical parameters, such as cycle velocity (CV), cycle length (CL), cycle rate (CR), and others, were recorded during uphill double pole test. The relationships between overall time (OT) and rank (OR) in two XC skiing races were analyzed using Pearson correlation and predictive equations were developed through multiple-linear regression analysis. RESULTS: Strong correlations were found between OT and uphill double pole test (r = 0.85, p < 0.001), 50 m double pole (r = 0.82, p < 0.001), CST (r = 0.73, p < 0.001), and others. For OR, significant relationships were noted for each gender. Additionally, relationships between upper- and lower-body muscular endurance and kinematic parameters were established. Predictive equations based on field tests explained 73-89% of total variance in OT, while kinematic equations explained 57-60% (Table 1). CONCLUSION: Winter performance of junior skiers can be effectively predicted using sport-specific fitness and technical parameters measured during the preparatory summer period. Table 1. - Standardized Equations to Predict Overall Time and Rank with Field Tests and Kinematics in Junior Skiers. Model Standardized Equations R 2 1 Z OT = 0.85*Z UDPT 0.73 2 Z OT = 0.56*Z UDPT + 0.46*Z DS50 0.85 3 Z OR = 0.52*Z UDPT + 0.32*Z DS50 +0.96*Z G 0.76 4, Men Z OT = -0.45*Z SS + 0.60*Z DS50 0.83 5, Men Z OT = 0.91*Z UDPT 0.83 6, Men Z OT = 0.76 *Z UDPT + 0.29*Z DS50 0.89 7, Men Z OT = 0.92*Z DP50 0.84 8, Women Z OT = 0.83*Z DS50 0.69 9, Women Z OT = 0.43 *Z UDPT + 0.62*Z DS50 0.83 10, Women Z OT = 0.60*Z DS50 - 0.45 *Z SS 0.85 11 Z OT = -0.75*Z MCL 0.56 12 Z OT = -0.76*Z MCL 0.57 13 Z OT = -0.63*Z CL - 0.55*Z CR 0.60 14 Z OT = -0.54*Z CL + 0.52*Z PT 0.58

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.032
Threshold uncertainty score0.819

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.009
GPT teacher head0.298
Teacher spread0.289 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2025
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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